November 04, 2025 2:27 PM EST

NHL: Washington Capitals vs. Pittsburgh Penguins 11/6/2025

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The Washington Capitals are slight 52.4 percent favorites over the Pittsburgh Penguins. The Capitals are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +2 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 28 shots on goal vs 26 shots for the Penguins. The Penguins goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 88.7% compared to the Capitals goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.5%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Logan Thompson 23, Tristan Jarry 25 SHOTS: Alex Ovechkin 3.7, Sidney Crosby 3.1 GOALS: Alex Ovechkin 0.58, Bryan Rust 0.57 PTS: Dylan Strome has a 52% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Sidney Crosby has a 58% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Penguins

Washington CapitalsRECORDPittsburgh PenguinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-2, 60% 59Record at Home3-2, 60% 79Pittsburgh Penguins
VS Pittsburgh Penguins0-0 No GamesVS Washington Capitals0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better4-4, 50% -67vs Team Under .5005-1, 83% 495Pittsburgh Penguins
Record As Road Underdog1-2, 33% -100Record As Home Favorite1-1, 50% -12Pittsburgh Penguins
After 1 or More Days Off5-4, 56% -419After 1 or More Days Off8-5, 62% -247Pittsburgh Penguins

PAST 30 DAYS

Washington CapitalsRECORDPittsburgh PenguinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-2, 60% 59Record at Home3-2, 60% 79Pittsburgh Penguins
VS Pittsburgh Penguins0-0 No GamesVS Washington Capitals0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better4-4, 50% -67vs Team Under .5005-1, 83% 495Pittsburgh Penguins
Record As Road Underdog1-2, 33% -100Record As Home Favorite1-1, 50% -12Pittsburgh Penguins
After 1 or More Days Off5-4, 56% -419After 1 or More Days Off8-5, 62% -247Pittsburgh Penguins

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Washington CapitalsRECORDPittsburgh PenguinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD3-2, 60% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME5-4, 56% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-2, 60% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-4, 56% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-9, 64% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON19-12, 61% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home4-3, 57% OVEROpp Averages <2.8 G on Road1-1, 50% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Washington Capitals Road Games: 2-3, 40% -200 Pittsburgh Penguins Home Games: 3-2, 60% +79 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Capitals Road Games: 2-3, 40% -200 Pittsburgh Penguins Home Games: 3-2, 60% +79

MONEY LINE - Washington Capitals Road Games: 5-0, 100% +411 Pittsburgh Penguins Home Games: 3-2, 60% 79 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Capitals Road Games: 5-0, 100% +411 Pittsburgh Penguins Home Games: 3-2, 60% +79

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Washington Capitals Road Games: 3-2, 60% + 73 Pittsburgh Penguins Home Games: 4-1, 80% + 264 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Capitals Road Games: 3-2, 60% + 73 Pittsburgh Penguins Home Games: 4-1, 80% + 264

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