December 11, 2025 4:10 AM EST

NHL: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Islanders 12/13/2025

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The Tampa Bay Lightning are solid 58.2 percent favorites over the New York Islanders. The Lightning are favored despite being projected for 26 shots on goal vs 30 shots for the Islanders. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.7% compared to the Islanders goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 87.6%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Andrei Vasilevskiy 27, Ilya Sorokin 23 SHOTS: Nikita Kucherov 3.6, Bo Horvat 3.2 GOALS: Brayden Point 0.59, Anders Lee 0.61 PTS: Nikita Kucherov has a 70% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Mathew Barzal has a 45% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Islanders

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDNew York IslandersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road9-6, 60% 277Record at Home8-8, 50% -21Tampa Bay Lightning
VS New York Islanders0-2, 0% -200VS Tampa Bay Lightning2-0, 100% 274New York Islanders
vs Team .500 or Better10-7, 59% 138vs Team .500 or Better8-12, 40% -202Tampa Bay Lightning
Record as Road Favorite2-4, 33% -260Record as Home Underdog4-0, 100% 518New York Islanders
After 1 or More Days Off14-10, 58% -1470After 1 or More Days Off13-13, 50% -195New York Islanders

PAST 30 DAYS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDNew York IslandersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-2, 71% 311Record at Home4-4, 50% 44Tampa Bay Lightning
VS New York Islanders0-2, 0% -200VS Tampa Bay Lightning2-0, 100% 274New York Islanders
vs Team .500 or Better5-2, 71% 268vs Team .500 or Better7-5, 58% 421New York Islanders
Record as Road Favorite1-1, 50% -29Record as Home Underdog3-0, 100% 382New York Islanders
After 1 or More Days Off7-5, 58% -603After 1 or More Days Off7-5, 58% +421New York Islanders

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDNew York IslandersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD7-8, 47% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME6-9, 40% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-4, 43% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-6, 14% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON12-24, 33% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home12-15, 44% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road13-12, 52% OVERUNDER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 10-5, 67% +4 New York Islanders Home Games: 9-7, 56% +284 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 5-2, 71% +52 New York Islanders Home Games: 4-4, 50% +82

MONEY LINE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 9-6, 60% +202 New York Islanders Home Games: 6-10, 38% +-483 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 4-3, 57% +70 New York Islanders Home Games: 3-5, 38% -235

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 6-9, 40% -354 New York Islanders Home Games: 7-9, 44% -263 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 3-4, 43% -127 New York Islanders Home Games: 6-2, 75% + 346

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW