December 20, 2025 6:28 AM EST

NHL: St. Louis Blues vs. Tampa Bay Lightning 12/22/2025

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The Tampa Bay Lightning are heavy 68.6 percent favorites over the St. Louis Blues. The Lightning are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +3 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 28 shots on goal vs 25 shots for the Blues. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.1% compared to the Blues goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 87.2%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Jordan Binnington 24, Andrei Vasilevskiy 22 SHOTS: Jordan Kyrou 2.9, Nikita Kucherov 3.6 GOALS: Jordan Kyrou 0.4, Brayden Point 0.59 PTS: Robert Thomas has a 50% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Nikita Kucherov has a 71% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Blues

St. Louis BluesRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-10, 38% -311Record at Home8-9, 47% -346St. Louis Blues
VS Tampa Bay Lightning0-0 No GamesVS St. Louis Blues0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better3-11, 21% -733vs Team Under .5005-8, 38% -388Tampa Bay Lightning
Record As Road Underdog6-8, 43% -111Record As Home Favorite7-9, 44% -445St. Louis Blues
After 1 or More Days Off9-20, 31% -1290After 1 or More Days Off15-13, 54% -1850St. Louis Blues

PAST 30 DAYS

St. Louis BluesRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-5, 38% -154Record at Home3-4, 43% -212St. Louis Blues
VS Tampa Bay Lightning0-0 No GamesVS St. Louis Blues0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better4-5, 44% -63vs Team .500 or Better5-4, 56% -49Tampa Bay Lightning
Record As Road Underdog3-4, 43% -54Record As Home Favorite3-4, 43% -212St. Louis Blues
After 1 or More Days Off4-8, 33% -532After 1 or More Days Off6-7, 46% -919St. Louis Blues

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

St. Louis BluesRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD8-8, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME8-9, 47% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-5, 38% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-4, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON14-14, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverUNDER
Opp Averages <2.8 G at Home4-4, 50% OVEROpp Averages <2.8 G on Road1-2, 33% OVERUNDER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - St. Louis Blues Road Games: 8-8, 50% +323 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 9-8, 53% -19 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Blues Road Games: 3-5, 38% -70 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 3-4, 43% -212

MONEY LINE - St. Louis Blues Road Games: 10-6, 62% +405 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 7-10, 41% +-518 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Blues Road Games: 3-5, 38% -154 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 3-4, 43% -212

OVER-UNDER RECORD - St. Louis Blues Road Games: 9-7, 56% + 119 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 6-11, 35% -554 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Blues Road Games: 5-3, 62% + 155 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 3-4, 43% -127

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