December 23, 2025 11:07 AM EST

NHL: Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Toronto Maple Leafs 12/23/2025

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The Toronto Maple Leafs are slight 52 percent favorites over the Pittsburgh Penguins. The Maple Leafs are favored despite being projected for 26 shots on goal vs 28 shots for the Penguins. The Maple Leafs goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.5% compared to the Penguins goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 89.4%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Stuart Skinner 23, Joseph Woll 25 SHOTS: Sidney Crosby 3, Auston Matthews 4.5 GOALS: Bryan Rust 0.52, William Nylander 0.6 PTS: Sidney Crosby has a 56% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Auston Matthews has a 60% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Penguins

Pittsburgh PenguinsRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-8, 50% 226Record at Home10-10, 50% -340Pittsburgh Penguins
VS Toronto Maple Leafs0-2, 0% -200VS Pittsburgh Penguins2-0, 100% 163Toronto Maple Leafs
vs Team Under .5008-12, 40% -371vs Team Under .50010-8, 56% -90Toronto Maple Leafs
Record As Road Underdog7-5, 58% 461Record As Home Favorite10-7, 59% -40Pittsburgh Penguins
After 1 or More Days Off14-14, 50% -1013After 1 or More Days Off12-16, 43% -1850Pittsburgh Penguins

PAST 30 DAYS

Pittsburgh PenguinsRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-2, 60% 164Record at Home2-3, 40% -156Pittsburgh Penguins
VS Toronto Maple Leafs0-1, 0% -100VS Pittsburgh Penguins1-0, 100% 93Toronto Maple Leafs
vs Team .500 or Better1-5, 17% -420vs Team Under .5004-0, 100% 343Toronto Maple Leafs
Record As Road Underdog3-2, 60% 164Record As Home Favorite2-2, 50% -56Pittsburgh Penguins
After 1 or More Days Off4-6, 40% -316After 1 or More Days Off5-5, 50% -272Toronto Maple Leafs

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Pittsburgh PenguinsRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD8-8, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME8-5, 62% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-2, 60% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-4, 33% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON19-12, 61% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON13-15, 46% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home16-10, 62% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road16-10, 62% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 10-6, 62% +406 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 7-13, 35% -632 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 3-2, 60% +79 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 1-4, 20% -277

MONEY LINE - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 7-9, 44% -416 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 9-11, 45% +-492 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 3-2, 60% +26 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 1-4, 20% -344

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 9-7, 56% + 119 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 7-13, 35% -663 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 3-2, 60% + 73 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 3-2, 60% + 73

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