February 05, 2026 4:03 PM EST

NHL: Florida Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning 2/5/2026

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The Tampa Bay Lightning are heavy 71.7 percent favorites over the Florida Panthers. The Lightning are favored despite being projected for 25 shots on goal vs 26 shots for the Panthers. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 91.7% compared to the Panthers goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 86.7%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Daniil Tarasov 22, Andrei Vasilevskiy 24 SHOTS: Sam Bennett 3.3, Nikita Kucherov 3.5 GOALS: Sam Reinhart 0.47, Brayden Point 0.59 PTS: Sam Reinhart has a 46% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Nikita Kucherov has a 72% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Florida Panthers

Florida PanthersRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road14-11, 56% 286Record at Home17-9, 65% 208Florida Panthers
VS Tampa Bay Lightning1-2, 33% -77VS Florida Panthers2-1, 67% 109Tampa Bay Lightning
vs Team .500 or Better14-14, 50% -130vs Team Under .50017-8, 68% 390Tampa Bay Lightning
Record As Road Underdog10-3, 77% 798Record As Home Favorite15-9, 62% 0Florida Panthers
Playing Back-to-Back Days3-4, 43% -412After 1 or More Days Off30-14, 68% -2720Florida Panthers

PAST 30 DAYS

Florida PanthersRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-4, 60% 189Record at Home6-0, 100% 349Tampa Bay Lightning
VS Tampa Bay Lightning0-0 No GamesVS Florida Panthers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better3-6, 33% -317vs Team Under .5005-1, 83% 242Tampa Bay Lightning
Record As Road Underdog4-1, 80% 332Record As Home Favorite5-0, 100% 240Florida Panthers
After 1 or More Days Off5-8, 38% -838After 1 or More Days Off10-1, 91% -503Tampa Bay Lightning

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Florida PanthersRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD16-9, 64% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME15-13, 54% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-3, 70% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-4, 43% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-12, 60% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home27-18, 60% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road23-18, 56% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Florida Panthers Road Games: 13-12, 52% +249 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 16-10, 62% +221 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Florida Panthers Road Games: 5-5, 50% +78 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 4-2, 67% +35

MONEY LINE - Florida Panthers Road Games: 10-15, 40% -659 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 16-10, 62% 36 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Florida Panthers Road Games: 5-5, 50% -16 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 6-0, 100% +349

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Florida Panthers Road Games: 11-14, 44% -399 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 9-17, 35% -881 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Florida Panthers Road Games: 4-6, 40% -236 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 1-5, 17% -409

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