March 13, 2026 7:25 AM EST

NHL: Carolina Hurricanes vs. Tampa Bay Lightning 3/14/2026

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The Tampa Bay Lightning are solid 63 percent favorites over the Carolina Hurricanes. The Lightning are favored despite being projected for 24 shots on goal vs 34 shots for the Hurricanes. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 91.9% compared to the Hurricanes goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 85.1%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Brandon Bussi 21, Andrei Vasilevskiy 31 SHOTS: Nikolaj Ehlers 2.9, Nikita Kucherov 3.5 GOALS: Seth Jarvis 0.61, Brayden Point 0.56 PTS: Nikolaj Ehlers has a 53% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Nikita Kucherov has a 74% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Lightning

Carolina HurricanesRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road17-13, 57% -83Record at Home20-11, 65% 169Tampa Bay Lightning
VS Tampa Bay Lightning1-1, 50% -32VS Carolina Hurricanes1-1, 50% -15Tampa Bay Lightning
vs Team .500 or Better17-10, 63% 48vs Team .500 or Better18-14, 56% 10Carolina Hurricanes
Record As Road Underdog3-2, 60% 76Record As Home Favorite18-11, 62% -39Carolina Hurricanes
After 1 or More Days Off36-18, 67% -3974After 1 or More Days Off34-18, 65% -3350Tampa Bay Lightning

PAST 30 DAYS

Carolina HurricanesRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-2, 50% -75Record at Home2-2, 50% -92Carolina Hurricanes
VS Tampa Bay Lightning1-0, 100% 68VS Carolina Hurricanes0-1, 0% -100Carolina Hurricanes
vs Team Under .5004-2, 67% 7vs Team .500 or Better0-6, 0% -600Carolina Hurricanes
Record As Road Underdog1-0, 100% 92Record As Home Favorite2-2, 50% -92Carolina Hurricanes
After 1 or More Days Off5-2, 71% -499After 1 or More Days Off3-4, 43% -577Carolina Hurricanes

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Carolina HurricanesRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD15-15, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME19-14, 58% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-1, 75% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-1, 80% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON19-11, 63% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home31-17, 65% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road29-19, 60% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Carolina Hurricanes Road Games: 17-13, 57% +185 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 19-12, 61% +443 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Carolina Hurricanes Road Games: 3-1, 75% +188 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 2-2, 50% +169

MONEY LINE - Carolina Hurricanes Road Games: 17-13, 57% +56 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 19-12, 61% +-3 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Carolina Hurricanes Road Games: 2-2, 50% -75 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 2-2, 50% -92

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Carolina Hurricanes Road Games: 16-14, 53% + 56 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 12-19, 39% -808 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Carolina Hurricanes Road Games: 1-3, 25% -209 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 3-1, 75% + 173

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