March 20, 2026 5:53 AM EST

NHL: Carolina Hurricanes vs. Toronto Maple Leafs 3/20/2026

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The Carolina Hurricanes are slight 54.5 percent favorites over the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Hurricanes are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +11 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 34 shots on goal vs 24 shots for the Maple Leafs. The Maple Leafs goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 91.5% compared to the Hurricanes goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.8%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Frederik Andersen 21, Joseph Woll 32 SHOTS: Sebastian Aho 2.8, Auston Matthews 3.6 GOALS: Seth Jarvis 0.59, William Nylander 0.57 PTS: Nikolaj Ehlers has a 47% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Auston Matthews has a 60% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Carolina Hurricanes

Carolina HurricanesRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road18-14, 56% -73Record at Home17-19, 47% -663Carolina Hurricanes
VS Toronto Maple Leafs1-1, 50% -23VS Carolina Hurricanes1-1, 50% 30Toronto Maple Leafs
vs Team Under .50021-15, 58% -239vs Team .500 or Better14-26, 35% -1178Carolina Hurricanes
Record as Road Favorite14-12, 54% -259Record as Home Underdog4-8, 33% -427Carolina Hurricanes
After 1 or More Days Off37-19, 66% -3964After 1 or More Days Off24-33, 42% -3875Toronto Maple Leafs

PAST 30 DAYS

Carolina HurricanesRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-3, 50% -65Record at Home1-4, 20% -308Carolina Hurricanes
VS Toronto Maple Leafs0-0 No GamesVS Carolina Hurricanes0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5005-2, 71% 117vs Team .500 or Better1-7, 12% -608Carolina Hurricanes
Record as Road Favorite1-3, 25% -267Record as Home Underdog1-3, 25% -208Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off6-3, 67% -489After 1 or More Days Off1-8, 11% -892Carolina Hurricanes

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Carolina HurricanesRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD17-15, 53% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME23-10, 70% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-1, 83% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-2, 71% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON19-11, 63% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON13-15, 46% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home33-20, 62% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road38-17, 69% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Carolina Hurricanes Road Games: 18-14, 56% +187 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 17-19, 47% -310 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Carolina Hurricanes Road Games: 4-2, 67% +190 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 3-2, 60% +87

MONEY LINE - Carolina Hurricanes Road Games: 18-14, 56% +58 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 21-15, 58% 127 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Carolina Hurricanes Road Games: 3-3, 50% -73 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 4-1, 80% +256

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Carolina Hurricanes Road Games: 18-14, 56% + 238 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 15-21, 42% -735 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Carolina Hurricanes Road Games: 3-3, 50% -27 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 3-2, 60% + 73

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