April 26, 2026 5:03 AM EST

NHL: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Montreal Canadiens 4/26/2026

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The Montreal Canadiens are solid 58.2 percent favorites over the Tampa Bay Lightning. The Canadiens are favored despite being projected for 24 shots on goal vs 24 shots for the Lightning. The Canadiens goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 92.1% compared to the Lightning goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 90.3%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Andrei Vasilevskiy 21, Jakub Dobes 22 SHOTS: Nikita Kucherov 3.9, Cole Caufield 3.4 GOALS: Nikita Kucherov 0.32, Cole Caufield 0.38 PTS: Nikita Kucherov has a 59% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Nick Suzuki has a 49% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Montreal Canadiens

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDMontreal CanadiensRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road24-18, 57% 142Record at Home25-17, 60% 282Montreal Canadiens
VS Montreal Canadiens3-4, 43% -211VS Tampa Bay Lightning4-3, 57% 189Montreal Canadiens
vs Team .500 or Better28-19, 60% 130vs Team .500 or Better24-23, 51% 183Montreal Canadiens
Record as Road Favorite15-15, 50% -485Record as Home Underdog8-2, 80% 601Montreal Canadiens
After 1 or More Days Off44-26, 63% -4749After 1 or More Days Off41-28, 59% -3166Montreal Canadiens

PAST 30 DAYS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDMontreal CanadiensRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road1-4, 20% -325Record at Home3-2, 60% 51Montreal Canadiens
VS Montreal Canadiens1-4, 20% -345VS Tampa Bay Lightning4-1, 80% 389Montreal Canadiens
vs Team .500 or Better1-6, 14% -545vs Team .500 or Better6-2, 75% 498Montreal Canadiens
Record as Road Favorite1-4, 20% -325Record as Home Underdog2-0, 100% 198Montreal Canadiens
After 1 or More Days Off6-6, 50% -964After 1 or More Days Off8-3, 73% -298Montreal Canadiens

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDMontreal CanadiensRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD24-18, 57% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME28-15, 65% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-4, 20% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-6, 33% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-19, 46% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home41-28, 59% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road46-24, 66% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 25-17, 60% -524 Montreal Canadiens Home Games: 22-20, 52% +165 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 2-3, 40% -103 Montreal Canadiens Home Games: 4-1, 80% +301

MONEY LINE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 27-15, 64% +697 Montreal Canadiens Home Games: 24-18, 57% 331 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 2-3, 40% -103 Montreal Canadiens Home Games: 4-1, 80% +301

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 19-23, 45% -571 Montreal Canadiens Home Games: 20-22, 48% -380 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 3-2, 60% + 73 Montreal Canadiens Home Games: 4-1, 80% + 264

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