April 30, 2025 5:19 AM EST

NHL: Florida Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning 4/30/2025

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The Tampa Bay Lightning are solid 60.1 percent favorites over the Florida Panthers. The Lightning are favored despite being projected for 24 shots on goal vs 27 shots for the Panthers. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.5% compared to the Panthers goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 86.7%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Sergei Bobrovsky 21, Andrei Vasilevskiy 25 SHOTS: Carter Verhaeghe 3.3, Nikita Kucherov 3.7 GOALS: Sam Reinhart 0.56, Brayden Point 0.58 PTS: Aleksander Barkov has a 52% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Nikita Kucherov has a 72% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Florida Panthers

Florida PanthersRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road22-21, 51% -374Record at Home29-14, 67% 488Tampa Bay Lightning
VS Tampa Bay Lightning5-3, 62% 121VS Florida Panthers3-5, 38% -191Florida Panthers
vs Team .500 or Better21-16, 57% 105vs Team .500 or Better17-21, 45% -601Florida Panthers
Record As Road Underdog7-4, 64% 359Record As Home Favorite26-12, 68% 377Tampa Bay Lightning
After 1 or More Days Off43-29, 60% -4649After 1 or More Days Off42-32, 57% -4739Florida Panthers

PAST 30 DAYS

Florida PanthersRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-5, 29% -302Record at Home2-4, 33% -274Tampa Bay Lightning
VS Tampa Bay Lightning3-2, 60% 67VS Florida Panthers2-3, 40% -103Florida Panthers
vs Team Under .5003-2, 60% 67vs Team .500 or Better2-5, 29% -363Florida Panthers
Record As Road Underdog2-2, 50% -2Record As Home Favorite2-4, 33% -274Florida Panthers
After 1 or More Days Off6-4, 60% -635After 1 or More Days Off5-8, 38% -977Florida Panthers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Florida PanthersRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD21-22, 49% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME22-21, 51% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-5, 29% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-4, 43% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-12, 60% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home30-36, 45% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road35-30, 54% OVERUNDER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Florida Panthers Road Games: 20-23, 47% -239 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 27-16, 63% +419 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Florida Panthers Road Games: 5-2, 71% +307 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 3-3, 50% +44

MONEY LINE - Florida Panthers Road Games: 21-22, 49% -557 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 26-17, 60% +-92 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Florida Panthers Road Games: 3-4, 43% -136 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 2-4, 33% -274

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Florida Panthers Road Games: 22-21, 51% -98 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 19-24, 44% -671 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Florida Panthers Road Games: 5-2, 71% + 255 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 3-3, 50% -27

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