April 30, 2025 5:19 AM EST

NHL: Montreal Canadiens vs. Washington Capitals 4/30/2025

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The Washington Capitals are heavy 69.5 percent favorites over the Montreal Canadiens. The Capitals are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +5 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 29 shots on goal vs 24 shots for the Canadiens. The Capitals goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.4% compared to the Canadiens goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 87.9%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Sam Montembeault 26, Logan Thompson 22 SHOTS: Cole Caufield 3.4, Alex Ovechkin 3.6 GOALS: Cole Caufield 0.56, Alex Ovechkin 0.65 PTS: Nick Suzuki has a 49% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Dylan Strome has a 54% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Montreal Canadiens

Montreal CanadiensRECORDWashington CapitalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road17-26, 40% -101Record at Home28-15, 65% 511Washington Capitals
VS Washington Capitals2-5, 29% -220VS Montreal Canadiens5-2, 71% 128Washington Capitals
vs Team .500 or Better19-22, 46% 768vs Team .500 or Better18-14, 56% 523Montreal Canadiens
Record As Road Underdog16-23, 41% 145Record As Home Favorite20-11, 65% 65Montreal Canadiens
After 1 or More Days Off34-37, 48% -562After 1 or More Days Off47-26, 64% -2805Montreal Canadiens

PAST 30 DAYS

Montreal CanadiensRECORDWashington CapitalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road1-4, 20% -302Record at Home4-1, 80% 146Washington Capitals
VS Washington Capitals1-3, 25% -182VS Montreal Canadiens3-1, 75% 103Washington Capitals
vs Team .500 or Better2-6, 25% -407vs Team .500 or Better4-4, 50% -165Washington Capitals
Record As Road Underdog1-4, 20% -302Record As Home Favorite3-1, 75% 45Washington Capitals
After 1 or More Days Off6-5, 55% -312After 1 or More Days Off7-4, 64% -655Montreal Canadiens

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Montreal CanadiensRECORDWashington CapitalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD25-18, 58% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME24-19, 56% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-4, 20% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-2, 75% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-19, 46% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-9, 64% OverN/A
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home38-28, 58% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road39-27, 59% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 17-26, 40% +57 Washington Capitals Home Games: 22-21, 51% -399 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 3-2, 60% -87 Washington Capitals Home Games: 4-1, 80% +146

MONEY LINE - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 24-19, 56% -387 Washington Capitals Home Games: 26-17, 60% 19 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 5-0, 100% +320 Washington Capitals Home Games: 4-1, 80% +146

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 15-28, 35% -1435 Washington Capitals Home Games: 16-27, 37% -1244 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 2-3, 40% -118 Washington Capitals Home Games: 1-4, 20% -309

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