The Buffalo Sabres are solid 56.8 percent favorites over the Tampa Bay Lightning. The Sabres are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +1 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 28 shots on goal vs 27 shots for the Lightning. The Sabres goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90% compared to the Lightning goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 89%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Andrei Vasilevskiy 25, UkkoPekka Luukkonen 24 SHOTS: Nikita Kucherov 3.7, Tage Thompson 4.1 GOALS: Nikita Kucherov 0.4, Tage Thompson 0.69 PTS: Nikita Kucherov has a 62% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Rasmus Dahlin has a 58% chance of 1+PTs
' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Buffalo Sabres
| Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | Buffalo Sabres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 23-14, 62% 467 | Record at Home | 24-14, 63% 635 | Buffalo Sabres |
| VS Buffalo Sabres | 1-2, 33% -157 | VS Tampa Bay Lightning | 2-1, 67% 190 | Buffalo Sabres |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 29-18, 62% 330 | vs Team .500 or Better | 24-24, 50% 124 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Record as Road Favorite | 14-11, 56% -160 | Record as Home Underdog | 7-3, 70% 568 | Buffalo Sabres |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 41-21, 66% -4066 | After 1 or More Days Off | 38-27, 58% -3029 | Buffalo Sabres |
PAST 30 DAYS
| Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | Buffalo Sabres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-2, 67% 43 | Record at Home | 6-3, 67% 98 | Buffalo Sabres |
| VS Buffalo Sabres | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Tampa Bay Lightning | 1-0, 100% 106 | Buffalo Sabres |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-4, 60% -25 | vs Team .500 or Better | 2-4, 33% -239 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Record as Road Favorite | 4-2, 67% 43 | Record as Home Underdog | 1-0, 100% 106 | Buffalo Sabres |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 9-4, 69% -934 | After 1 or More Days Off | 7-5, 58% -975 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | Buffalo Sabres | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 23-14, 62% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 21-18, 54% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-0, 100% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-4, 33% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 18-18, 50% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 16-12, 57% Over | OVER |
| Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home | 38-22, 63% OVER | Opp Averages >2.8 G on Road | 36-27, 57% OVER | OVER |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 23-14, 62% -421 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 22-16, 58% +685 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 2-4, 33% -294 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 3-6, 33% -200
MONEY LINE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 25-12, 68% +800 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 24-13, 65% 581 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 5-1, 83% +249 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 6-3, 67% +98
OVER-UNDER RECORD - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 16-21, 43% -644 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 22-16, 58% + 402 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 0-6, 0% -600 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 4-5, 44% -136
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