The Washington Capitals are slight 52.1 percent favorites over the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Capitals are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +2 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 28 shots on goal vs 26 shots for the Maple Leafs. The Maple Leafs goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.1% compared to the Capitals goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 89.9%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Logan Thompson 24, Anthony Stolarz (GK) 25 SHOTS: Alex Ovechkin 3.7, William Nylander 3.4 GOALS: Alex Ovechkin 0.51, Matthew Knies 0.6 PTS: Pierre-Luc Dubois has a 42% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Matthew Knies has a 53% chance of 1+PTs
' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Capitals
| Washington Capitals | RECORD | Toronto Maple Leafs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 15-23, 39% -712 | Record at Home | 18-20, 47% -673 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| VS Toronto Maple Leafs | 2-0, 100% 127 | VS Washington Capitals | 0-2, 0% -200 | Washington Capitals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 16-13, 55% 1 | vs Team .500 or Better | 19-32, 37% -1131 | Washington Capitals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 4-8, 33% -499 | Record as Home Underdog | 4-9, 31% -527 | Washington Capitals |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 35-30, 54% -3705 | After 1 or More Days Off | 26-37, 41% -3972 | Washington Capitals |
PAST 30 DAYS
| Washington Capitals | RECORD | Toronto Maple Leafs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-4, 43% 31 | Record at Home | 2-2, 50% -18 | Washington Capitals |
| VS Toronto Maple Leafs | 0-0 No Games | VS Washington Capitals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 1-0, 100% 64 | vs Team .500 or Better | 3-5, 38% -50 | Washington Capitals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 0-2, 0% -200 | Record as Home Underdog | 1-2, 33% -108 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 7-5, 58% -643 | After 1 or More Days Off | 3-7, 30% -489 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Washington Capitals | RECORD | Toronto Maple Leafs | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 24-14, 63% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 28-11, 72% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-3, 57% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-3, 67% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 16-9, 64% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 13-15, 46% Over | OVER |
| Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home | 35-25, 58% OVER | Opp Averages >2.8 G on Road | 42-19, 69% OVER | OVER |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE - Washington Capitals Road Games: 17-21, 45% -592 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 17-21, 45% -510 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Capitals Road Games: 3-4, 43% +9 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 2-2, 50% -20
MONEY LINE - Washington Capitals Road Games: 19-19, 50% -268 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 22-16, 58% 75 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Capitals Road Games: 1-6, 14% -510 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 3-1, 75% +128
OVER-UNDER RECORD - Washington Capitals Road Games: 19-19, 50% -171 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 15-23, 39% -935 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Capitals Road Games: 2-5, 29% -318 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 2-2, 50% -18
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