May 01, 2026 1:33 PM EST

NHL: Buffalo Sabres vs. Boston Bruins 5/1/2026

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The Buffalo Sabres are solid 57.5 percent favorites over the Boston Bruins. The Sabres are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +4 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 28 shots on goal vs 24 shots for the Bruins. The Bruins goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 88.8% compared to the Sabres goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.5%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Alex Lyon 21, Jeremy Swayman 25 SHOTS: Tage Thompson 4.1, David Pastrnak 4.1 GOALS: Tage Thompson 0.69, David Pastrnak 0.75 PTS: Tage Thompson has a 63% chance of scoring at least 1 point and David Pastrnak has a 70% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Bruins

Buffalo SabresRECORDBoston BruinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road26-17, 60% 983Record at Home29-14, 67% 1261Boston Bruins
VS Boston Bruins4-5, 44% -177VS Buffalo Sabres5-4, 56% 164Boston Bruins
vs Team .500 or Better25-23, 52% 201vs Team .500 or Better25-25, 50% 230Boston Bruins
Record as Road Favorite9-1, 90% 603Record as Home Underdog10-5, 67% 700Boston Bruins
After 1 or More Days Off44-30, 59% -3798After 1 or More Days Off39-35, 53% -2588Boston Bruins

PAST 30 DAYS

Buffalo SabresRECORDBoston BruinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-2, 67% 106Record at Home1-3, 25% -225Buffalo Sabres
VS Boston Bruins3-2, 60% 54VS Buffalo Sabres2-3, 40% -26Buffalo Sabres
vs Team Under .5007-2, 78% 348vs Team .500 or Better3-6, 33% -251Buffalo Sabres
Record as Road Favorite2-1, 67% 19Record as Home Underdog0-1, 0% -100Buffalo Sabres
After 1 or More Days Off6-5, 55% -969After 1 or More Days Off3-7, 30% -501Boston Bruins

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Buffalo SabresRECORDBoston BruinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD24-19, 56% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME26-18, 59% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-2, 67% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-5, 38% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-12, 57% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON12-20, 38% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home39-32, 55% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road44-27, 62% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Buffalo Sabres Road Games: 25-18, 58% +292 Boston Bruins Home Games: 17-26, 40% -942 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Buffalo Sabres Road Games: 4-2, 67% -37 Boston Bruins Home Games: 2-2, 50% -13

MONEY LINE - Buffalo Sabres Road Games: 25-18, 58% +212 Boston Bruins Home Games: 17-26, 40% +-1148 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Buffalo Sabres Road Games: 5-1, 83% +300 Boston Bruins Home Games: 3-1, 75% +162

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Buffalo Sabres Road Games: 25-18, 58% + 475 Boston Bruins Home Games: 22-21, 51% -98 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Buffalo Sabres Road Games: 3-3, 50% -27 Boston Bruins Home Games: 1-3, 25% -209

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