January 19, 2026 7:50 PM EST

New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos 01/25/2026

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The New England Patriots are a solid favorite with a 67.0% chance to beat the Denver Broncos. TreVeyon Henderson is projected for 107.0 rushing yards and a 70.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 33.0% of simulations where Denver Broncos wins, Jarrett Stidham averages 0.51 TD passes vs 0.29 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.36 TDs to 0.55 interceptions. RJ Harvey averages 121.0 rushing yards and 1.12 rushing TDs when Denver Broncos wins and 61.0 yards and 0.38 TDs in losses. The New England Patriots has a 65.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 81.0% of the time.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

New England PatriotsATS RECORDDenver BroncosATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 14-5-0All Games 7-9-2No Edge
Road Games 70-10-00Home Games 5-4-1 No Edge
When Favored 10-3-0When Underdog 4-1-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 9-4-0Non-Division Opp 6-6-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 2-2-0Opp .500+ Record 5-2-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

New England PatriotsATS RECORDDenver BroncosATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 7-9-1All Games 12-6-0No Edge
Road Games 40-50-00Home Games 6-2-0 No Edge
When Favored 0-1-0When Underdog 4-6-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 4-6-1Non-Division Opp 8-4-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 43-54-12Opp Under .500 91-17-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New England PatriotsO-U-P RECORDDenver BroncosO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 12-7-0All Totals (O-U-P) 8-10-0OVER
On Road 5-3-0At Home 5-5-0OVER
All Totals Last Season 11-6-0All Totals Last Season 10-7-1OVER
On Road Last Season 4-5-0At Home Last Season 4-3-1No Edge

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