The Jacksonville Jaguars are a solid favorite with a 65.0% chance to beat the Atlanta Falcons. Travis Etienne Jr. is projected for 48.0 rushing yards and a 27.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 35.0% of simulations where Atlanta Falcons wins, Desmond Ridder averages 1.83 TD passes vs 0.22 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.24 TDs to 0.43 interceptions. Bijan Robinson averages 96.0 rushing yards and 0.44 rushing TDs when Atlanta Falcons wins and 56.0 yards and 0.14 TDs in losses. The Jacksonville Jaguars has a 38.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 86.0% of the time.
| Atlanta Falcons | | Jacksonville Jaguars | | |
|---|
| All Games | 5-12-0 | All Games | 9-8-0 | |
| Road Games | 20-70-00 | Home Games | 4-5-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 2-4-0 | When Favored | 7-4-0 | |
| Non-Division Opp | 2-9-0 | Non-Division Opp | 5-6-0 | |
| Opp .500+ Record | 2-4-0 | Opp Under .500 | 1-3-0 | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| Atlanta Falcons | | Jacksonville Jaguars | | |
|---|
| All Games | 9-7-1 | All Games | 11-8-0 | |
| Road Games | 40-40-00 | Home Games | 6-3-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 7-3-1 | When Favored | 2-3-0 | |
| Non-Division Opp | 5-5-1 | Non-Division Opp | 7-6-0 | Detroit Lions |
| Opp .500+ Record | 58-36-13 | Opp Under .500 | 47-52-0 | |
| Atlanta Falcons | | Jacksonville Jaguars | | |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 7-10-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 8-9-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 4-5-0 | At Home | 4-5-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 7-10-0 | All Totals Last Season | 9-10-0 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 3-5-0 | At Home Last Season | 3-6-0 | UNDER |
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