October 12, 2025 11:32 AM EST

Buffalo Bills vs Atlanta Falcons 10/13/2025

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The Buffalo Bills are a solid favorite with a 67.0% chance to beat the Atlanta Falcons. James Cook is projected for 75.0 rushing yards and a 51.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 33.0% of simulations where Atlanta Falcons wins, Michael Penix Jr. averages 1.46 TD passes vs 0.59 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.02 TDs to 1.0 interceptions. Bijan Robinson averages 148.0 rushing yards and 0.86 rushing TDs when Atlanta Falcons wins and 85.0 yards and 0.27 TDs in losses. The Buffalo Bills has a 74.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 79.0% of the time.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Buffalo BillsATS RECORDAtlanta FalconsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 2-3-0All Games 2-2-0No Edge
Road Games 10-00-00Home Games 1-1-0Buffalo Bills
When Favored 1-3-0When Underdog 1-1-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 1-1-0Non-Division Opp 2-0-0Atlanta Falcons
Opp .500+ Record 0-1-0Opp .500+ Record 2-0-0Atlanta Falcons

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Buffalo BillsATS RECORDAtlanta FalconsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 12-7-1All Games 6-11-0No Edge
Road Games 50-50-00Home Games 3-6-0 No Edge
When Favored 9-5-1When Underdog 1-4-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 9-4-1Non-Division Opp 3-8-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 86-49-7Opp .500+ Record 40-102-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Buffalo BillsO-U-P RECORDAtlanta FalconsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 3-2-0All Totals (O-U-P) 1-3-0UNDER
On Road 0-1-0At Home 1-1-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 13-6-1All Totals Last Season 8-8-1OVER
On Road Last Season 6-4-0At Home Last Season 4-5-0OVER

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