November 19, 2025 1:40 PM EST

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Chicago Bears 11/23/2025

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Expect a close game with the Pittsburgh Steelers winning 50.0% of simulations, and the Chicago Bears 50.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Pittsburgh Steelers commit fewer turnovers in 71.0% of simulations and they go on to win 59.0% when they take care of the ball. The Chicago Bears wins 76.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jaylen Warren is averaging 52.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (20.0% chance) then he helps his team win 75%. Dandre Swift is averaging 64.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (16.0% chance) then he helps his team win 82%.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Pittsburgh SteelersATS RECORDChicago BearsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 5-5-0All Games 6-3-1No Edge
Road Games 10-30-00Home Games 2-1-0 No Edge
When Underdog 2-2-0When Favored 2-0-1Chicago Bears
Non-Division Opp 3-4-0Non-Division Opp 5-1-1No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 3-2-0Opp .500+ Record 2-0-0Chicago Bears

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Pittsburgh SteelersATS RECORDChicago BearsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 11-7-0All Games 8-8-1No Edge
Road Games 50-50-00Home Games 6-2-0 No Edge
When Underdog 6-4-0When Favored 4-1-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 7-4-0Non-Division Opp 5-6-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 88-37-0Opp .500+ Record 56-76-14No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Pittsburgh SteelersO-U-P RECORDChicago BearsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 5-5-0All Totals (O-U-P) 5-5-0No Edge
On Road 2-2-0At Home 1-3-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 8-9-1All Totals Last Season 7-10-0UNDER
On Road Last Season 6-4-0At Home Last Season 5-4-0OVER

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