February 07, 2024 5:25 AM EST

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers 12/10/2023

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Expect a close game with the Denver Broncos winning 51.0% of simulations, and the Los Angeles Chargers 48.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Denver Broncos commit fewer turnovers in 69.0% of simulations and they go on to win 64.0% when they take care of the ball. The Los Angeles Chargers wins 80.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Samaje Perine is averaging 46.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (15.0% chance) then he helps his team win 72%. Austin Ekeler is averaging 36.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (9.0% chance) then he helps his team win 76%.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Denver BroncosATS RECORDLos Angeles ChargersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 6-10-1All Games 6-11-0No Edge
Road Games 20-50-10Home Games 3-6-0 No Edge
When Underdog 3-5-0When Favored 4-5-0No Edge
Division Opp 3-3-0Division Opp 1-5-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 2-1-1Opp .500+ Record 1-5-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Denver BroncosATS RECORDLos Angeles ChargersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 8-9-0All Games 9-7-2No Edge
Road Games 40-50-00Home Games 4-3-1 No Edge
When Underdog 7-4-0When Favored 5-6-2No Edge
Division Opp 4-2-0Division Opp 3-3-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 84-46-0Opp Under .500 58-72-14No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Denver BroncosO-U-P RECORDLos Angeles ChargersO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 8-9-0All Totals (O-U-P) 5-12-0UNDER
On Road 4-4-0At Home 3-6-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 6-11-0All Totals Last Season 8-10-0UNDER
On Road Last Season 3-6-0At Home Last Season 3-5-0UNDER

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