February 07, 2024 5:25 AM EST

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cleveland Browns 12/10/2023

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Expect a close game with the Jacksonville Jaguars winning 52.0% of simulations, and the Cleveland Browns 48.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Jacksonville Jaguars commit fewer turnovers in 31.0% of simulations and they go on to win 83.0% when they take care of the ball. The Cleveland Browns wins 63.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Trevor Lawrence is averaging 294.0 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (37.0% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. Jerome Ford is averaging 99.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (42.0% chance) then he helps his team win 72%.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Jacksonville JaguarsATS RECORDCleveland BrownsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 9-8-0All Games 9-7-2No Edge
Road Games 50-30-00Home Games 7-1-1 No Edge
When Underdog 2-4-0When Favored 6-4-1No Edge
Non-Division Opp 5-6-0Non-Division Opp 7-4-1No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 6-3-0Opp .500+ Record 4-3-2No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Jacksonville JaguarsATS RECORDCleveland BrownsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 11-8-0All Games 8-9-0No Edge
Road Games 50-50-00Home Games 4-4-0 No Edge
When Underdog 9-5-0When Favored 3-4-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 7-6-0Non-Division Opp 4-7-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 47-52-0Opp .500+ Record 58-79-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Jacksonville JaguarsO-U-P RECORDCleveland BrownsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 8-9-0All Totals (O-U-P) 11-7-0OVER
On Road 4-4-0At Home 2-7-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 9-10-0All Totals Last Season 8-9-0UNDER
On Road Last Season 6-4-0At Home Last Season 4-4-0OVER

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