December 13, 2025 6:17 AM EST

Detroit Lions vs Los Angeles Rams 12/14/2025

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Expect a close game with the Detroit Lions winning 42.0% of simulations, and the Los Angeles Rams 58.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Detroit Lions commit fewer turnovers in 48.0% of simulations and they go on to win 62.0% when they take care of the ball. The Los Angeles Rams wins 79.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jared Goff is averaging 319.0 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (36.0% chance) then he helps his team win 43%. Matthew Stafford is averaging 292.0 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (44.0% chance) then he helps his team win 58%.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Detroit LionsATS RECORDLos Angeles RamsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 7-6-0All Games 9-4-0No Edge
Road Games 30-30-00Home Games 4-2-0 No Edge
When Underdog 1-3-0When Favored 9-3-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 6-3-0Non-Division Opp 7-2-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 4-2-0Opp .500+ Record 4-4-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Detroit LionsATS RECORDLos Angeles RamsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 11-4-3All Games 11-7-1No Edge
Road Games 70-00-10Home Games 5-5-1Detroit Lions
When Underdog 1-0-0When Favored 4-3-0Detroit Lions
Non-Division Opp 7-3-2Non-Division Opp 7-5-1No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 86-45-31Opp .500+ Record 105-53-14No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Detroit LionsO-U-P RECORDLos Angeles RamsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 8-5-0All Totals (O-U-P) 7-6-0OVER
On Road 3-3-0At Home 2-4-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 10-8-0All Totals Last Season 9-10-0OVER
On Road Last Season 4-4-0At Home Last Season 5-5-0No Edge

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