December 13, 2025 6:17 AM EST

Green Bay Packers vs Denver Broncos 12/14/2025

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Expect a close game with the Green Bay Packers winning 59.0% of simulations, and the Denver Broncos 41.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Green Bay Packers commit fewer turnovers in 85.0% of simulations and they go on to win 65.0% when they take care of the ball. The Denver Broncos wins 74.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Josh Jacobs is averaging 69.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (34.0% chance) then he helps his team win 76%. RJ Harvey is averaging 35.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (17.0% chance) then he helps his team win 60%.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Green Bay PackersATS RECORDDenver BroncosATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 6-5-1All Games 5-7-1No Edge
Road Games 30-20-00Home Games 3-3-1 No Edge
When Favored 5-5-1When Underdog 3-1-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 3-5-0Non-Division Opp 4-5-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 3-2-1Opp .500+ Record 4-2-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Green Bay PackersATS RECORDDenver BroncosATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 8-9-1All Games 12-6-0No Edge
Road Games 30-50-10Home Games 6-2-0 No Edge
When Favored 6-5-0When Underdog 4-6-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 8-4-0Non-Division Opp 8-4-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 41-100-14Opp .500+ Record 77-67-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Green Bay PackersO-U-P RECORDDenver BroncosO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 6-6-0All Totals (O-U-P) 5-8-0UNDER
On Road 4-1-0At Home 2-4-0OVER
All Totals Last Season 9-9-0All Totals Last Season 10-7-1OVER
On Road Last Season 5-4-0At Home Last Season 4-3-1OVER

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