December 13, 2025 6:17 AM EST

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs 12/14/2025

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Expect a close game with the Los Angeles Chargers winning 44.0% of simulations, and the Kansas City Chiefs 55.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Los Angeles Chargers commit fewer turnovers in 62.0% of simulations and they go on to win 59.0% when they take care of the ball. The Kansas City Chiefs wins 81.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Omarion Hampton is averaging 103.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (41.0% chance) then he helps his team win 72%. Kareem Hunt is averaging 70.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (43.0% chance) then he helps his team win 77%.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Los Angeles ChargersATS RECORDKansas City ChiefsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 7-6-0All Games 5-7-1No Edge
Road Games 10-40-00Home Games 4-2-0 No Edge
When Underdog 2-0-0When Favored 4-6-1Los Angeles Chargers
Division Opp 4-0-0Division Opp 1-2-0Los Angeles Chargers
Opp Under .500 1-3-0Opp .500+ Record 1-6-1No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Los Angeles ChargersATS RECORDKansas City ChiefsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 12-6-0All Games 9-11-0No Edge
Road Games 70-30-00Home Games 4-6-0 No Edge
When Underdog 2-4-0When Favored 8-8-0No Edge
Division Opp 5-1-0Division Opp 1-5-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 58-70-0Opp .500+ Record 91-92-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Los Angeles ChargersO-U-P RECORDKansas City ChiefsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 5-6-2All Totals (O-U-P) 3-9-1UNDER
On Road 2-3-0At Home 1-6-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 9-9-0All Totals Last Season 9-11-0UNDER
On Road Last Season 4-6-0At Home Last Season 5-5-0UNDER

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