December 13, 2025 6:17 AM EST

Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers 12/15/2025

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The Pittsburgh Steelers are a solid favorite with a 66.0% chance to beat the Miami Dolphins. Jaylen Warren is projected for 65.0 rushing yards and a 34.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 34.0% of simulations where Miami Dolphins wins, Tua Tagovailoa averages 1.57 TD passes vs 0.69 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.04 TDs to 1.21 interceptions. De'Von Achane averages 80.0 rushing yards and 0.29 rushing TDs when Miami Dolphins wins and 49.0 yards and 0.1 TDs in losses. The Pittsburgh Steelers has a 80.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 74.0% of the time.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Miami DolphinsATS RECORDPittsburgh SteelersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 6-5-2All Games 6-6-1No Edge
Road Games 30-30-00Home Games 4-3-1 No Edge
When Underdog 4-3-0When Favored 3-3-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 2-4-2Non-Division Opp 3-5-1No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 4-0-0Opp Under .500 2-2-0Miami Dolphins

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Miami DolphinsATS RECORDPittsburgh SteelersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 7-10-0All Games 11-7-0No Edge
Road Games 40-50-00Home Games 6-2-0 No Edge
When Underdog 4-5-0When Favored 5-3-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 4-7-0Non-Division Opp 7-4-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 33-70-0Opp Under .500 88-37-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Miami DolphinsO-U-P RECORDPittsburgh SteelersO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 8-5-0All Totals (O-U-P) 7-6-0OVER
On Road 5-1-0At Home 3-4-0OVER
All Totals Last Season 8-9-0All Totals Last Season 8-9-1UNDER
On Road Last Season 2-7-0At Home Last Season 2-5-1UNDER

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