December 21, 2025 5:42 AM EST

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos 12/21/2025

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Expect a close game with the Jacksonville Jaguars winning 47.0% of simulations, and the Denver Broncos 52.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Jacksonville Jaguars commit fewer turnovers in 62.0% of simulations and they go on to win 62.0% when they take care of the ball. The Denver Broncos wins 76.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Travis Etienne Jr. is averaging 101.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (35.0% chance) then he helps his team win 71%. RJ Harvey is averaging 39.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (22.0% chance) then he helps his team win 69%.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Jacksonville JaguarsATS RECORDDenver BroncosATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 9-5-0All Games 6-7-1No Edge
Road Games 30-30-00Home Games 4-3-1 No Edge
When Underdog 4-4-0When Favored 2-6-1No Edge
Non-Division Opp 6-4-0Non-Division Opp 5-5-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 4-3-0Opp .500+ Record 5-2-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Jacksonville JaguarsATS RECORDDenver BroncosATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 9-6-2All Games 12-6-0No Edge
Road Games 50-40-00Home Games 6-2-0 No Edge
When Underdog 7-5-1When Favored 8-0-0Denver Broncos
Non-Division Opp 5-6-0Non-Division Opp 8-4-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 63-42-18Opp Under .500 91-17-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Jacksonville JaguarsO-U-P RECORDDenver BroncosO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 8-6-0All Totals (O-U-P) 6-8-0No Edge
On Road 5-1-0At Home 3-4-0OVER
All Totals Last Season 9-8-0All Totals Last Season 10-7-1OVER
On Road Last Season 5-4-0At Home Last Season 4-3-1OVER

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