September 16, 2025 6:53 PM EST

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills 09/18/2025

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The Buffalo Bills are a heavy favorite winning 82.0% of simulations over the Miami Dolphins. Josh Allen is averaging 224.0 passing yards and 1.8 TDs per simulation and James Cook is projected for 83.0 rushing yards and a 64.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 18.0% of simulations where Miami Dolphins wins, Tua Tagovailoa averages 1.75 TD passes vs 0.63 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.21 TDs to 1.35 interceptions. De'Von Achane averages 82.0 rushing yards and 0.54 rushing TDs when Miami Dolphins wins and 48.0 yards and 0.14 TDs in losses. Buffalo Bills has a 91.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 86.0% of the time.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Miami DolphinsATS RECORDBuffalo BillsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 0-2-0All Games 2-0-0Buffalo Bills
Road Games 00-10-00Home Games 1-0-0Buffalo Bills
When Underdog 0-1-0When Favored 1-0-0Buffalo Bills
Division Opp 0-1-0Division Opp 1-0-0Buffalo Bills
Opp .500+ Record 0-0-0Opp Under .500 1-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Miami DolphinsATS RECORDBuffalo BillsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 7-10-0All Games 12-7-1No Edge
Road Games 40-50-00Home Games 7-2-0 No Edge
When Underdog 4-5-0When Favored 9-5-1No Edge
Division Opp 3-3-0Division Opp 3-3-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 33-70-0Opp Under .500 86-49-7No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Miami DolphinsO-U-P RECORDBuffalo BillsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 1-1-0All Totals (O-U-P) 1-1-0No Edge
On Road 0-1-0At Home 1-0-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season 8-9-0All Totals Last Season 13-6-1OVER
On Road Last Season 2-7-0At Home Last Season 7-2-1No Edge

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