September 17, 2025 4:31 AM EST

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers 09/21/2025

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The Los Angeles Chargers are a solid favorite with a 67.0% chance to beat the Denver Broncos. Najee Harris is projected for 59.0 rushing yards and a 33.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 33.0% of simulations where Denver Broncos wins, Bo Nix averages 1.69 TD passes vs 0.42 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.33 TDs to 0.86 interceptions. JK Dobbins averages 60.0 rushing yards and 0.31 rushing TDs when Denver Broncos wins and 39.0 yards and 0.09 TDs in losses. The Los Angeles Chargers has a 82.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 76.0% of the time.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Denver BroncosATS RECORDLos Angeles ChargersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 0-2-0All Games 2-0-0Los Angeles Chargers
Road Games 00-10-00Home Games 1-0-0Los Angeles Chargers
When Underdog 0-0-0When Favored 1-0-0No Edge
Division Opp 0-0-0Division Opp 2-0-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 0-1-0Opp .500+ Record 1-0-0Los Angeles Chargers

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Denver BroncosATS RECORDLos Angeles ChargersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 12-6-0All Games 12-6-0No Edge
Road Games 60-40-00Home Games 5-3-0 No Edge
When Underdog 4-6-0When Favored 10-2-0No Edge
Division Opp 4-2-0Division Opp 5-1-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 77-67-0Opp .500+ Record 58-70-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Denver BroncosO-U-P RECORDLos Angeles ChargersO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 1-1-0All Totals (O-U-P) 0-1-1UNDER
On Road 1-0-0At Home 0-0-1OVER
All Totals Last Season 10-7-1All Totals Last Season 9-9-0OVER
On Road Last Season 6-4-0At Home Last Season 5-3-0OVER

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