September 17, 2025 4:31 AM EST

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots 09/21/2025

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The Pittsburgh Steelers are a solid favorite with a 63.0% chance to beat the New England Patriots. Jaylen Warren is projected for 69.0 rushing yards and a 32.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 37.0% of simulations where New England Patriots wins, Drake Maye averages 0.9 TD passes vs 0.61 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.59 TDs to 0.95 interceptions. Rhamondre Stevenson averages 71.0 rushing yards and 0.3 rushing TDs when New England Patriots wins and 45.0 yards and 0.1 TDs in losses. The Pittsburgh Steelers has a 74.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 72.0% of the time.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Pittsburgh SteelersATS RECORDNew England PatriotsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 0-2-0All Games 1-1-0No Edge
Road Games 00-10-00Home Games 0-1-0 No Edge
When Favored 0-2-0When Underdog 1-0-0New England Patriots
Non-Division Opp 0-2-0Non-Division Opp 0-1-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 0-0-0Opp .500+ Record 0-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Pittsburgh SteelersATS RECORDNew England PatriotsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 11-7-0All Games 7-9-1No Edge
Road Games 50-50-00Home Games 3-4-0 No Edge
When Favored 5-3-0When Underdog 7-8-1No Edge
Non-Division Opp 7-4-0Non-Division Opp 4-6-1No Edge
Opp Under .500 88-37-0Opp .500+ Record 43-54-12No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Pittsburgh SteelersO-U-P RECORDNew England PatriotsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 2-0-0All Totals (O-U-P) 1-1-0OVER
On Road 1-0-0At Home 0-1-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season 8-9-1All Totals Last Season 11-6-0OVER
On Road Last Season 6-4-0At Home Last Season 7-1-0OVER

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