2017 Foster Farms Bowl: Arizona vs Purdue Analyst Pick

Written by Rohit Ghosh
Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

Foster Farms Bowl: Arizona vs Purdue

It may not be one of the more talked-about bowl games, but Wednesday's matchup between Arizona and Purdue at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA just might end up being one of the most exciting games of the season. Fans should be treated to some high octane offenses as all eyes will be on Arizona QB Khalil Tate and a team led by offensive genius Jeff Brohm.

Let's take a closer look at this matchup and how to bet the game.

All of AccuScore's College Football picks
Our computer has simulated every Bowl game 10,000 times based on trends, team and player statistics: College Football Bowl Picks

Vegas Odds
Arizona opened as a 3.5-point favorite before settling in a half-point lower in most books. The total dropped just a point since opening at 66.5.

Betting Line: Arizona -3
Total: 65.5

At the time of publication, 52 percent of the public were taking the points and picking Purdue.

62 percent of the action on the total has been on the OVER.

Betting Trends
• Purdue is just 1-5 against the spread (ATS) in its last six bowl games.
• The total has gone OVER in four of Arizona's last six games.

What to Watch For
Arizona's QB is a Beast: Despite missing close to four weeks at the beginning of the season, Tate still finished the regular season having thrown for 1,289 passing yards, rushed for 1,353 yards and scored 21 total touchdowns. He does have the tendency to turn the ball over, but that doesn't seem to be an issue in our sims for this bowl matchup.

Tate is projected to finish with 233 passing yards, 2 passing TDs, and 1 INT. The Purdue defense is projected to force 1 takeaway, but average zero QB sacks.

Purdue's Turnaround: A big reason the team went from a 3-6 finish in 2016 to making a bowl game in 2017 was how the defense played this year. The Boilermakers defense ranks 28th nationally in S&P+, and its run defense stands is remarkable at No. 6 in the country. They'll have their hands full against Tate.

Tate is projected to finish with 113 rushing yards and 1 TD on the ground.

Analyst's Pick
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2017 Orange Bowl: Wisconsin vs Miami - Analyst Pick & Preview

Written by Rohit Ghosh
Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

Wisconsin vs Miami: Orange Bowl Analyst Pick

Both Wisconsin and Miami may have just been a win or two away from playing the College Football Playoffs, but they'll have to take what's theirs at the Orange Bowl in Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida. The Badgers had their eyes set on the playoffs a few weeks back, but don't expect them to be treat this as a give-away.

Wisconsin is 3-0 straight up (SU) and 2-0-1 against the spread (ATS) in their past three bowl games while averaging 425.7 yards and 27 points per game.

Let's take a closer look at where the value is in this matchup.

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Vegas Odds
There has practically been no movement on the spread or total since the lines opened. The Badgers just moved up a half-point since opening as 6-point favorites.

Betting Line: Wisconsin -6.5
Total: 45

At the time of publication, 52 percent of the public were taking the points and picking Miami.

Action on the total has been on about even on the OVER/UNDER.

What to Watch For
Badgers' Defense: This season, Wisconsin gave up just 4.24 yards per play and 253.2 yards per game. Their overall defense (ypc) was No. 1 in the country, and grew to be the team's best feature as things into October and November this season.

In the Big Ten Championship, the Ohio State Buckeyes finished with 27 points, the highest total Wisconsin had given up so far. On the year, the Badgers' defense allowed opponents to score just 13.2 points per game, No. 3 in the country.

The Miami offense is led by QB Malik Rosier, RB Travis Homer, and WR Braxton Berrios. Rosier is projected to finish with 163 passing yards, 1 TD and 1 INT; he actually averages more INTs per sim than he does TDs. Homer is projected to finish with 59 yards on 12-to-13 carries, while Berrios is projected to reel in 42 yards on three-to-four receptions. Homer has a slightly her probability of finding the end zone than does Berrios.

Runnin' Wild: Wisconsin RB Jonathan Taylor has averaged 218.3 rushing yards in games after he was held to fewer than 100.

Taylor s projected to finish with 135 yards on 24 carries; he averages 0.9 TDs per sim, indicating there's a very high probability he finds the end zone against Miami.