Written by Rohit Ghosh
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Utah State vs Akron: Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Utah State a 6.5-point favorite vs. Akron (8-4) this Tuesday, December 22, in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl held in Boise, Idaho. The Aggies biggest achilles heel this season has been top-ranked run defenses. Akron enters the matchup with the No. 3 defense against the run, allowing fewer than 90 yards per game.
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Aggies money-line bettors are required to lay -250 odds, with the Zips getting +210 odds in Las Vegas. Utah St. wins about 71 percent of simulations, solidifying the -250 as the right value for the Aggies.
Utah St. covers a -6.5 spread in 58 percent of simulations, a two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend. In MAC non-conference point spreads, AccuScore has gone 22-16 (57.9%, +440 units in MWC non-conference game point spreads, AccuScore has gone 21-15 (58.3%, +450 units).
With Vegas setting the total at 47 and AccuScore sim data having it at 51, the OVER is a nice wagering opportunity. The total combined score went OVER 47 in nearly 59 percent of simulations, a three-star (out of four) hot trend. In MWC non-conference game totals, AccuScore has gone 21-15 (58.3%, +450 units).
Akron QB Thomas Woodson is projected to finish with 211 passing yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT and a passer rating of 113.6. Utah St. QB Aggies QB Chuckie Keeton is projected to finish with 182 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT and a passer rating of 123.6.
Conor Hundley is projected to lead Akron on the ground with 60 rushing yards on 14 carries. He averages 0.6 TDs per sim. WR Jerome Lane is projected to finish with 62 yards on 4 receptions. He averages 0.5 TDs per sim.
Devante Mays is projected to lead Utah St. with 100 rushing yards on 19 carries. He averages 1.9 TDs per sim. WR Hunter Sharp - who averages 0.7 TDs per sim - is projected to finish with 81 yards on 7 carries.
All of AccuScore's 2015 College Football Bowl Picks - Spreads & Totals
AccuScore’s computer simulates games 10,000 times to predict their outcome. Throughout the college football season, we’ll be stacking up these forecasts against Las Vegas money-lines. When AccuScore gives a team a better chance to win than the money-line odds imply, it’s a recommended play.
