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2020 NFL Playoffs Preview - Saints vs Ravens Tipped for Super Bowl
The 2020 NFL playoffs are finally upon us, and AccuScore's super computer simulated out the postseason 10,000 times to arrive at probabilities for every team to win the Super Bowl and also every matchup. Before we get too deep into the weeds of how the bracket breaks down, let's take a look at Super Bowl odds for every team: AccuScore and Vegas.
As you can see, the Baltimore Ravens are the top choice to win it all, according to both AccuScore and Vegas. The San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs are both rated a bit higher by Vegas than AccuScore. The best value is on Seattle when comparing to Vegas odds, but the Seahawks are real long shots at 4.5% to win it all, according to AccuScore, and 2.5% to win it all. according to Vegas odds. All in all, Vegas' Super Bowl odds don't offer much value.
AccuScore's 2020 NFL Playoffs Bracket
Ok, no more waiting. Here it is:
There is only one projected upset in the Wildcard round, and it is the Seattle Seahawks over the Philadelphia Eagles, which makes sense considering the Seahawks finished two wins better than the Eagles in a measurably tougher division. The Patriots, Saints and Texans are all predicted to comfortably take care of business. The Bills have the best shot of pulling the upset out of those three games.
In the divisional round, the Patriots losing to the Dolphins in the final game of the season comes back to haunt Tom Brady and company. A trip to Arrowhead in January in the divisional round should see the Patriots eliminated from the postseason, with rumors that this could be the end of Brady in Boston.
The Super Bowl favorite Ravens expect to waltz past the Texans and into an AFC title game at home against the Chiefs. With Lamar Jackson leading the way, at home, the Ravens have a 60-40 edge, according to AccuScore. This seems like it's Baltimore's year. It's seemed that way for a while now, and AccuScore likes the Ravens.
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After taking care of the Vikings at home, the Saints have the unenviable task of facing to Green Bay. Aaron Rodgers and the Packers have managed to get a bye and put themselves in position to take down the Saints, but AccuScore likes New Orleans. A lot. The Saints, even on the road, take the Packers down and advance to the NFC title game for the second year in a row.
On the opposite side of the bracket, the San Francisco 49ers beat the Seahawks in a divisional round matchup--emphasis on division. This will be the third meeting between the two teams this season, and the first two meetings had a net difference of two points and involved one overtime game. The rested 49ers at home get the decided edge in AccuScore's eyes.
And thus, we get a rematch of what most consider the game of the season: 49ers vs. Saints. This time, San Francisco would host, but AccuScore likes the Saints to get past the 49ers in a close game, giving New Orleans a 53% edge. Of course, one bad call could change all that, but let's hope it doesn't come down to that for New Orleans' sake.
Super Bowl: Ravens Vs. Saints
The Baltimore Ravens with Lamar Jackson, the quarterback of the present and the future, facing the New Orleans Saints with Drew Brees, who will be 41 by the time the Super Bowl is played, will be a matchup for the ages, pun intended. The Saints showed that they are more than Brees this season, but the Ravens with Lamar Jackson have been the toughest nut to crack in the NFL. If Baltimore makes it to the Super Bowl, the Ravens will be riding a 14-game winning streak. Understandably, AccuScore likes the Ravens with a healthy 59% edge, making them clear favorites.
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