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Champions League • TUE, OCT 13 • 16:45In 22d
○ EV+○ Prob 63%○ Sharp $
SPO
SportingCP
25%
Draw24%
LEN
Lens
52%
Proj: 1.3–2.0Most likely: 1–1
1X2
EV +0.0%
Total
O/U —
50% likely

Sporting travels to Lens in a Champions League matchup where the simulation clearly favors the home side.

Champions League • TUE, OCT 13 • 16:45In 22d
○ EV+○ Prob 63%○ Sharp $
SLA
SlaviaPrague
45%
Draw27%
SAB
SabahBaku
29%
Proj: 1.6–1.3Most likely: 1–1
1X2
EV +0.0%
Total
O 3.5 (+147)
EV -9.8%

This Champions League fixture between Slavia and Sabah is essentially a coin-flip, with the simulation favouring the hosts barely.

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Champions League • TUE, OCT 13 • 16:45In 22d
LEN
Lens
@
SPO
SportingCP
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Champions League • TUE, OCT 13 • 16:45In 22d
SAB
SabahBaku
@
SLA
SlaviaPrague
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Champions League • TUE, OCT 13 • 19:00In 22d
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 55%○ Sharp $
INT
Inter
85%
Draw12%
CLU
Club BruggeKV
3%
Proj: 2.6–0.3Most likely: 2–0
1X2
INT -417
EV +2.6%
Total
Under 3 (+100)
EV +6.7%
Record on picks like this · Total · no qualifying pattern
Champions League · 4.5–7.5% edge · 3y
55%+4.8%n=102

Inter travels to Club Brugge as decisive favourites in this Champions League fixture.

Champions League • TUE, OCT 13 • 19:00In 22d
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 51%○ Sharp $
RBL
RBLeipzig
44%
Draw24%
PSV
PSV
32%
Proj: 2.1–1.8Most likely: 2–1
1X2
PSV ML (+220)
EV +1.5%
Total
O/U —
50% likely
Record on picks like this · 1X2 · no qualifying pattern
Champions League · 1.5–3% edge
51%+10.9%n=41

RB Leipzig travels to PSV in a Champions League fixture where the simulation slightly favours the visitors.

Champions League • TUE, OCT 13 • 19:00In 22d
○ EV+○ Prob 63%○ Sharp $
VIK
Viking
3%
Draw9%
FCB
BayernMunich
89%
Proj: 0.6–3.4Most likely: 0–3
1X2
FCB -1000
EV -1.3%
Total
O/U —
50% likely

Bayern München's decisive home advantage over travelling Viking turns on Bayern's ability to convert chances into goals.

Champions League • TUE, OCT 13 • 19:00In 22d
VIL
Villarreal
@
NAP
Napoli
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Champions League • TUE, OCT 13 • 19:00In 22d
GAL
Galatasaray
@
BAR
Barcelona
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Champions League • TUE, OCT 13 • 19:00In 22d
ATL
Atl.Madrid
@
MUN
ManchesterUtd
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Champions League • TUE, OCT 13 • 19:00In 22d
○ EV+○ Prob 63%○ Sharp $
NAP
Napoli
29%
Draw27%
VIL
Villarreal
45%
Proj: 1.3–1.7Most likely: 1–1
1X2
EV +0.0%
Total
O/U —
50% likely

Napoli travels to face Villarreal in a Champions League fixture where the simulation favours the hosts clearly.

Champions League • TUE, OCT 13 • 19:00In 22d
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 64%○ Sharp $
FCB
BayernMunich
89%
Draw9%
VIK
Viking
3%
Proj: 3.4–0.6Most likely: 3–0
1X2
EV +0.0%
Total
Under 6 (-714)
EV +0.3%
Record on picks like this · Total · no qualifying pattern
Champions League · 0–1.5% edge · 1y
64%+22.7%n=14

Bayern München travel to Viking as heavy favorites in this Champions League fixture.

Champions League • TUE, OCT 13 • 19:00In 22d
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 68%○ Sharp $
PSV
PSV
32%
Draw24%
RBL
RBLeipzig
44%
Proj: 1.8–2.1Most likely: 1–2
1X2
EV +0.0%
Total
Over 4.5 (+193)
EV +2.7%
Record on picks like this · Total · no qualifying pattern
Champions League · 1.5–3% edge · 1y
68%+29.8%n=25

PSV travels to face RB Leipzig in a Champions League matchup where the simulation slightly favors the hosts.

Champions League • TUE, OCT 13 • 19:00In 22d
CLU
Club BruggeKV
@
INT
Inter
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Champions League • TUE, OCT 13 • 19:00In 22d
BAR
Barcelona
@
GAL
Galatasaray
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Champions League • TUE, OCT 13 • 19:00In 22d
○ EV+○ Prob 63%○ Sharp $
MUN
ManchesterUtd
34%
Draw24%
ATL
Atl.Madrid
43%
Proj: 1.7–1.9Most likely: 1–1
1X2
EV +0.0%
Total
O/U —
50% likely

Manchester United travels to Atlético FC in a Champions League fixture where the simulation slightly favours the visitors.

Champions League • TUE, OCT 13 • 19:00In 22d
○ EV+○ Prob 63%○ Sharp $
LIL
Lille
5%
Draw11%
ARS
Arsenal
84%
Proj: 0.9–3.5Most likely: 0–3
1X2
EV +0.0%
Total
O/U —
50% likely

Arsenal FC hosts Lille in a Champions League fixture where the simulation decisively favours the home side.

Champions League • TUE, OCT 13 • 19:00In 22d
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 81%○ Sharp $
ARS
Arsenal
84%
Draw11%
LIL
Lille
5%
Proj: 3.4–0.9Most likely: 3–0
1X2
ARS ML (-400)
EV +2.3%
Total
O 3 (-105)
EV +20.3%
Record on picks like this · 1X2 · no qualifying pattern
80-90% chance to win · 1.5–3% edge
81%+0.0%n=159

Arsenal FC travel to Lille in the Champions League as decisively favored visitors.

Champions League • WED, OCT 14 • 16:45In 23d
○ EV+○ Prob 63%○ Sharp $
COM
Como
42%
Draw24%
FEY
Feyenoord
34%
Proj: 2–1.8Most likely: 1–1
1X2
EV +0.0%
Total
O/U —
50% likely

Como travels to Feyenoord in a matchup the model barely separates — a coin-flip that could tip either way.

Champions League • WED, OCT 14 • 16:45In 23d
LAS
LASK
@
LIV
Liverpool
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Champions League • WED, OCT 14 • 16:45In 23d
FEY
Feyenoord
@
COM
Como
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Champions League • WED, OCT 14 • 16:45In 23d
○ EV+○ Prob 63%○ Sharp $
LIV
Liverpool
69%
Draw20%
LAS
LASK
11%
Proj: 2.2–0.8Most likely: 2–0
1X2
EV +0.0%
Total
O/U —
50% likely

Liverpool travels to Austria as a clear favourite to beat LASK in this Champions League tie.

Champions League • WED, OCT 14 • 19:00In 23d
SLO
SlovanBratislava
@
VFB
Stuttgart
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Champions League • WED, OCT 14 • 19:00In 23d
MCI
ManchesterCity
@
PSG
PSG
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Champions League • WED, OCT 14 • 19:00In 23d
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 43%○ Sharp $
BOD
Bodo/Glimt
24%
Draw23%
BVB
Dortmund
53%
Proj: 1.5–2.2Most likely: 1–2
1X2
BVB ML (+100)
EV +3.0%
Total
O/U —
50% likely
Record on picks like this · 1X2 · no qualifying pattern
Champions League · 3–4.5% edge · 3y
43%+6.4%n=40

Borussia Dortmund hosts Bodø/Glimt in a Champions League fixture where the simulation clearly favors the home side.

Champions League • WED, OCT 14 • 19:00In 23d
BET
Betis
@
FC
FC Porto
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Champions League • WED, OCT 14 • 19:00In 23d
AVL
AstonVilla
@
FEN
Fenerbahce
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Champions League • WED, OCT 14 • 19:00In 23d
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 43%○ Sharp $
ROM
AS Roma
24%
Draw22%
RMA
RealMadrid
54%
Proj: 1.7–2.6Most likely: 1–2
1X2
RMA ML (-102)
EV +3.3%
Total
O/U —
50% likely
Record on picks like this · 1X2 · no qualifying pattern
Champions League · 3–4.5% edge · 3y
43%+6.4%n=40

Roma travels to the Bernabéu to face Real Madrid in a Champions League clash where the simulation favors the hosts.

Champions League • WED, OCT 14 • 19:00In 23d
○ EV+○ Prob 63%○ Sharp $
RMA
RealMadrid
54%
Draw22%
ROM
AS Roma
24%
Proj: 2.6–1.7Most likely: 2–1
1X2
EV +0.0%
Total
O/U —
50% likely

Real Madrid travels to the Stadio Olimpico as a clear favourite over Roma in this Champions League clash.

Champions League • WED, OCT 14 • 19:00In 23d
○ EV+○ Prob 63%○ Sharp $
FEN
Fenerbahce
9%
Draw19%
AVL
AstonVilla
72%
Proj: 0.8–2.5Most likely: 0–2
1X2
EV +0.0%
Total
O/U —
50% likely

Aston Villa hosts Fenerbahçe in a Champions League fixture where the simulation decisively favours the home side.

Champions League • WED, OCT 14 • 19:00In 23d
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 51%○ Sharp $
FC
FC Porto
23%
Draw26%
BET
Betis
52%
Proj: 1.2–1.9Most likely: 1–1
1X2
BET ML (+101)
EV +2.3%
Total
O/U —
50% likely
Record on picks like this · 1X2 · no qualifying pattern
Champions League · 1.5–3% edge
51%+10.9%n=41

Porto travels to Real Betis in a Champions League fixture where the simulation clearly favours the hosts.

Champions League • WED, OCT 14 • 19:00In 23d
○ EV+○ Prob 63%○ Sharp $
BVB
Dortmund
56%
Draw21%
BOD
Bodo/Glimt
23%
Proj: 2.6–1.7Most likely: 2–1
1X2
EV +0.0%
Total
O/U —
50% likely

Borussia Dortmund travel to face Bodø/Glimt in the Champions League with the simulation favoring the visitors.

Champions League • WED, OCT 14 • 19:00In 23d
○ EV+○ Prob 63%○ Sharp $
PSG
PSG
31%
Draw27%
MCI
ManchesterCity
42%
Proj: 1.5–1.7Most likely: 1–1
1X2
EV +0.0%
Total
O/U —
50% likely

Paris Saint-Germain travel to Manchester City in a Champions League fixture where the simulation decisively favors the hosts.

Champions League • WED, OCT 14 • 19:00In 23d
○ EV+○ Prob 63%○ Sharp $
AEK
AEKAthens
19%
Draw25%
SHA
ShakhtarDonetsk
56%
Proj: 1.1–2.0Most likely: 1–2
1X2
EV +0.0%
Total
O/U —
50% likely

Shakhtar Donetsk hosts AEK Athens in a Champions League fixture where the simulation clearly favours the home side.

Champions League • WED, OCT 14 • 19:00In 23d
○ EV+○ Prob 63%○ Sharp $
VFB
Stuttgart
63%
Draw18%
SLO
SlovanBratislava
19%
Proj: 2.7–1.4Most likely: 2–1
1X2
EV +0.0%
Total
O/U —
50% likely

Stuttgart visits Slovan Bratislava in a Champions League clash where the simulation decisively favours the away side.

Champions League • WED, OCT 14 • 19:00In 23d
○ EV+○ Prob 63%○ Sharp $
SHA
ShakhtarDonetsk
55%
Draw24%
AEK
AEKAthens
21%
Proj: 2.0–1.1Most likely: 2–1
1X2
SHA +150
EV +19.2%
Total
O/U —
50% likely

Shakhtar Donetsk travels to face AEK Athens in a Champions League fixture where the simulation favours the visitors clearly.

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