MLB
Chicago Cubs
88-73
Boston Red Sox
87-74
Win Probability
Moneyline
CHC
52.7% win prob
Moneyline
BOS
47.3% win prob
Projected score
3.0 – 2.7
The Chicago Cubs travel to Boston to face the Red Sox in a matchup where the simulation favors Chicago slightly. Scoring will be key: the model gives the Cubs' offense a 50% chance to push the combined total over the market line, suggesting runs may be harder to come by than the oddsmakers expect. On a game shaped like this one, AccuScore's model has won 49% of the time across more than 15,000 similar spots in the National League. For Boston to come away with a win at home, the Red Sox would need to limit Chicago's scoring opportunities and take advantage of early chances themselves.
AccuScore's simulation makes Chicago Cubs 53% to beat Boston Red Sox (47%). Projected score: Chicago Cubs 3.0, Boston Red Sox 2.7.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Chicago Cubs the more likely winner at 53%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Boston Red Sox a 47% chance of beating Chicago Cubs, against 53% for Chicago Cubs. Boston Red Sox are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Chicago Cubs 3.0, Boston Red Sox 2.7.