AccuScore's stand-out player projections for Wednesday, September 23, ranked by probability. The likeliest home run of the day is Anthony Seigler at 27.6%.
Projections, not picks: these are ranked by how often the player reaches the number in simulation, not by value against a sportsbook price. The full prop table for every game is part of AccuScore Pro.
mlb
| Player | Game | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Seigler | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox · 7:10 PM ET | 27.6% |
| Ketel Marte | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies · 8:40 PM ET | 25.9% |
| Kyle Schwarber | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies · 6:40 PM ET | 24.6% |
| Ben Rice | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees · 7:05 PM ET | 23.8% |
| Shohei Ohtani (b) | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers · 10:10 PM ET | 23.5% |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees · 7:05 PM ET | 22.8% |
soccer
| Player | Game | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Rothrock | Real Salt Lake at Seattle Sounders · 9:30 PM ET | 54.8% |
| Jordan Morris | Real Salt Lake at Seattle Sounders · 9:30 PM ET | 48.7% |
| Aléxandros Katránis | Real Salt Lake at Seattle Sounders · 9:30 PM ET | 32.0% |
| Albert Rusnák | Real Salt Lake at Seattle Sounders · 9:30 PM ET | 20.8% |
| Sergi Solens | Real Salt Lake at Seattle Sounders · 9:30 PM ET | 18.7% |
| Juan Sanabria |
mlb
| Player | Game | Projected | Chance over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Spence | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners · 10:10 PM ET | 4 | 29.1% |
| Santiago Espinal | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers · 10:10 PM ET | 4 | 16.7% |
| Joe Mack | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs · 7:40 PM ET | 4 | 7.7% |
| Henry Bolte | Los Angeles Angels at Athletics · 9:40 PM ET | 2 | 36.1% |
| TJ Rumfield | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies · 8:40 PM ET | 2 |
mlb
| Player | Game | Projected | Chance over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Spence | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners · 10:10 PM ET | 4 | 27.4% |
| Santiago Espinal | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers · 10:10 PM ET | 4 | 16.4% |
| Joe Mack | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs · 7:40 PM ET | 4 | 7.5% |
| Henry Bolte | Los Angeles Angels at Athletics · 9:40 PM ET | 2 | 46.5% |
| Adrian Del Castillo | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies · 8:40 PM ET | 2 |
A player prop is a bet on one player's performance rather than on the result — how many hits they record, whether they hit a home run, how many yards they gain. It settles on that player's line in the box score, whoever wins the game.
The same simulation that prices the game runs each player's role within it, so a projection reflects the opposing pitcher or defence actually expected, not a season average. Each figure here is the share of simulated games in which the player reaches the number shown.
No. These are projections ranked by probability, not by value against a sportsbook price. Whether a projection is worth backing depends on the odds offered, which vary by book and move through the day.
| 8.3% |
| 24.0% |
| Adrian Del Castillo | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies · 8:40 PM ET | 2 | 23.0% |
| 36.1% |
| Anthony Seigler | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox · 7:10 PM ET | 2 | 35.6% |