La Liga • Sun, Oct 25, 20:00
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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La Liga
AccuScore's simulation makes Barcelona 55% to win, Real Madrid 23%, with a 23% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Barcelona the more likely winner at 55%, with a 23% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Barcelona a 55% chance of beating Real Madrid, with 23% for Real Madrid and 23% for a draw. Barcelona are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Real Madrid and Barcelona come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Real Madrid have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-L-W-L, most recent first).
Barcelona have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-L-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 18 times since 2017: Real Madrid 8, Barcelona 8, 2 drawn. The last meeting, on May 10, 2026, finished Real Madrid 0, Barcelona 2.