Philadelphia Flyers
0-2
Boston Bruins
2-2
Win Probability
Moneyline
PHI
46.5% win prob
Moneyline
BOS
53.5% win prob
The Boston Bruins host the Philadelphia Flyers in a matchup where the simulation leans slightly toward the home side. David Pastrnak has a 36% chance of recording multiple points, while Owen Tippett projects at 45% to score at least once—a rare edge for the visitor in individual performance. The game hinges on whether Boston's depth can sustain pressure; Pavel Zacha sits at just 17% for multiple points, suggesting the Bruins may need their star power rather than balanced scoring. On similar games shaped this way, AccuScore has won 6 of 8. Philadelphia would need to convert its scoring chances efficiently to overcome the home-ice lean.
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Boston Bruins 54% to beat Philadelphia Flyers (47%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Boston Bruins the more likely winner at 54%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Boston Bruins a 54% chance of beating Philadelphia Flyers, against 47% for Philadelphia Flyers. Boston Bruins are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Philadelphia Flyers and Boston Bruins come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Philadelphia Flyers have won 0 of their last 4 (L-L-L-L, most recent first).
Boston Bruins have won 2 of their last 4 (L-L-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 35 times since 2011: Philadelphia Flyers 14, Boston Bruins 21. The last meeting, on Jan 13, 2022, finished Philadelphia Flyers 2, Boston Bruins 3.
Philadelphia Flyers are 188-144 as favourite and 177-261 as underdog, and 161-227 on the road (41% of 388 games, 2011–2022).
Boston Bruins are 374-249 as favourite and 89-97 as underdog, and 243-166 at home (59% of 409 games, 2011–2022).
| Record | PHI | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 188-144 | 374-249 |
| As underdog | 177-261 | 89-97 |
| At home | 207-185 | 243-166 |
| On the road | 161-227 | 222-189 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →