Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction, Odds & Live Score — Oct 10

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NHL•Sat, Oct 10 • 11:00 PM

DAL

Dallas Stars

1-2

PIT

Pittsburgh Penguins

2-2

Win Probability

Moneyline

DAL

60.3% win prob

Moneyline

PIT

39.7% win prob

Analysis

The Dallas Stars travel to Pittsburgh to face the Penguins with the simulation clearly favoring the visitors. Jason Robertson projects at 37% to exceed one point, while Mikko Rantanen sits at 35%, suggesting Dallas's depth should outpace a Pittsburgh attack where Sidney Crosby checks in at 27% for the same mark. The game hinges on whether Dallas can sustain that offensive advantage; AccuScore has graded 640 similar matchups backing the visiting side and won 60% of them. For Pittsburgh to pull the upset, the Penguins would need to compress the Stars' scoring opportunities and steal a low-scoring affair.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Puck Line (-1.5/+1.5)DAL -1.5

70.5-6

DAL Cover

34.5%

no odds at this line

PIT Cover

65.5%

no odds at this line

Total (Over/Under)O/U 7

0.56.7513

Over Cover

35.2%

no odds at this line

Under Cover

44.7%

no odds at this line

Push 20.1% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the total

Where to Bet

DraftKingsBet →FanDuelBet →BetMGMBet →KalshiBet →PolymarketBet →

AccuScore's simulation makes Dallas Stars 60% to beat Pittsburgh Penguins (40%).

Projection updated Oct 4, 10:29 AM ET

Who will win Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins?

AccuScore's simulation makes Dallas Stars the more likely winner at 60%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Pittsburgh Penguins beat Dallas Stars?

AccuScore's simulation gives Pittsburgh Penguins a 40% chance of beating Dallas Stars, against 60% for Dallas Stars. Pittsburgh Penguins are at home but the underdog on these numbers.

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Dallas Stars and Pittsburgh Penguins come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Dallas StarsWLL

Oct 5vs San Jose SharksW 5–0
Oct 3at Nashville PredatorsL 1–2
Oct 2vs St. Louis BluesL 0–4

Dallas Stars have won 1 of their last 3 (W-L-L, most recent first).

Pittsburgh PenguinsLLWW

Oct 7at Washington CapitalsL 3–5
Oct 5vs Winnipeg JetsL 2–3
Oct 3vs Montreal CanadiensW 6–5
Sep 30at Philadelphia FlyersW 7–0

Pittsburgh Penguins have won 2 of their last 4 (L-L-W-W, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 16 times since 2011: Dallas Stars 8, Pittsburgh Penguins 8. The last meeting, on Jan 8, 2022, finished Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Dallas Stars 3.

Jan 8, 2022PIT 2 – 3 DAL
Oct 19, 2021DAL 2 – 1 PIT
Oct 26, 2019PIT 3 – 0 DAL
Oct 18, 2019DAL 2 – 4 PIT
Mar 23, 2019PIT 3 – 2 DAL

Every Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins meeting →

Betting trends

Dallas Stars are 232-176 as favourite and 166-210 as underdog, and 189-214 on the road (47% of 403 games, 2011–2022).

Pittsburgh Penguins are 373-236 as favourite and 99-110 as underdog, and 273-146 at home (65% of 419 games, 2011–2022).

Record	DAL	PIT
As favourite	232-176	373-236
As underdog	166-210	99-110
At home	221-176	273-146
On the road	189-214	210-205

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →