Real Madrid
Racing Santander
Win Probability
Moneyline
RMA
-345
72.6% win prob
EV -3.2%
1xBet
Draw
Draw
+628
16% prob
EV +9.3%
1xBet
Moneyline
RAC
+895
11.1% win prob
EV +5.2%
1xBet
Real Madrid travels to Racing Santander as a decisive favourite in this La Liga fixture. The simulation strongly favours the visitors, projecting a comfortable margin despite Racing's home advantage. Real Madrid's attacking threat will be central to the outcome—the model expects the visitors to build their lead through sustained pressure rather than a single explosive period. On similar matchups, AccuScore has backed the away side 74% of the time over 277 graded games. Racing would need to compress the space between the lines and convert rare chances at high efficiency to upset this projection.
| Book | RMA | EV | Draw | EV | RAC | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | -400 | -4.6% | +590 | +6.2% | +732 | -3.8% |
| William Hill ↗ | -400 | -4.6% | +500 | -1.1% | +750 | -2.8% |
| BetVictor ↗ | -455 | -5.7% | +500 | -1.1% | +800 | -0.1% |
| Marathon ↗ | -385 | -4.3% | +595 | +6.6% | +850 | +2.7% |
| 1xBet ↗ | -345 | -3.2% | +628 | +9.3% | +895 | +5.2% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 4 | +100 | +1.5% | -123 | -5.1% |
| BetVictor ↗ | 4 | -109 | -0.3% | -132 | -6.2% |
| Marathon ↗ | 4 | -105 | +0.5% | -128 | -5.7% |
| 1xBet ↗ | 4 | -105 | +0.5% | -128 | -5.7% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 16.3%
La Liga
AccuScore's simulation makes Real Madrid 73% to win, Racing Santander 11%, with a 16% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Real Madrid the more likely winner at 73%, with a 16% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Racing Santander a 11% chance of beating Real Madrid, with 73% for Real Madrid and 16% for a draw. Racing Santander are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Real Madrid and Racing Santander come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Real Madrid have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-L-L-W, most recent first).
Racing Santander have won 3 of their last 5, drawing 1 (L-D-W-W-W, most recent first).