Anaheim Ducks
2-1
Calgary Flames
0-4
Win Probability
Moneyline
ANA
-118
68.9% win prob
EV +13.6%
melbet
Moneyline
CAL
+105
31.1% win prob
EV -18.1%
melbet
The Anaheim Ducks visit Calgary Flames in a matchup where the simulation decisively favours the travelling side. Leo Carlsson projects as the Ducks' most likely contributor, with a 69% chance of exceeding 0.5 points, while Cutter Gauthier sits at 51%. For the Flames, Joel Farabee offers the best scoring probability at 40%, leaving Calgary's offensive burden distributed across multiple players. The game turns on whether Anaheim's depth advantage translates to goals; AccuScore's model has gone 60% on calls shaped this way across 640 graded games. Calgary would need to compress that offensive spread and steal possession time to overtake a visiting team built to generate multiple scoring chances.
| Book | CAL | EV | ANA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| melbet | +105 | -18.1% | -118 | +13.6% |
| Polymarket ↗ | +103 | -18.4% | -134 | +10.2% |
| midnite | -105 | -19.6% | -137 | +9.6% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | 6.5 | -128 | -18.6% | -105 | +13.2% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 68.9%
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Anaheim Ducks 69% to beat Calgary Flames (31%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Anaheim Ducks the more likely winner at 69%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Calgary Flames a 31% chance of beating Anaheim Ducks, against 69% for Anaheim Ducks. Calgary Flames are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Anaheim Ducks and Calgary Flames come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Anaheim Ducks have won 2 of their last 3 (L-W-W, most recent first).
Calgary Flames have won 0 of their last 4 (L-L-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 45 times since 2012: Anaheim Ducks 29, Calgary Flames 16. The last meeting, on Apr 6, 2022, finished Calgary Flames 4, Anaheim Ducks 2.
Anaheim Ducks are 213-145 as favourite and 164-255 as underdog, and 169-221 on the road (43% of 390 games, 2011–2022).
Calgary Flames are 227-161 as favourite and 158-226 as underdog, and 212-181 at home (54% of 393 games, 2011–2022).
| Record | ANA | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 213-145 | 227-161 |
| As underdog | 164-255 | 158-226 |
| At home | 214-184 | 212-181 |
| On the road | 169-221 | 180-211 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →