Los Angeles Kings
0-2
Vegas Golden Knights
4-1
Win Probability
Moneyline
LOS
+151
35.9% win prob
EV -4.9%
melbet
Moneyline
VGK
-158
64.1% win prob
EV +2.3%
Polymarket
The Los Angeles Kings visit the Vegas Golden Knights in a matchup that clearly favours the home side. Jack Eichel projects to clear 0.5 points in three of every four simulations, while Artemi Panarin reaches that mark in just over half of them—a gap that reflects Vegas's offensive depth. The simulation turns on whether Los Angeles can generate secondary scoring; with Adrian Kempe at 45% to record a point, the Kings need contributions beyond their top line to stay competitive. AccuScore's model has graded 1,928 games shaped like this one and won 60% of them. For Los Angeles to pull off the upset, it would need to silence Eichel and force the Golden Knights' supporting cast into a quiet night.
| Book | VGK | EV | LOS | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| melbet | -172 | +0.7% | +151 | -4.9% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -158 | +2.3% | +131 | -8.5% |
| midnite | -200 | -1.9% | +130 | -8.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | 5.5 | -140 | +2.5% | +107 | -9.8% |
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Vegas Golden Knights 64% to beat Los Angeles Kings (36%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Vegas Golden Knights the more likely winner at 64%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Vegas Golden Knights a 64% chance of beating Los Angeles Kings, against 36% for Los Angeles Kings. Vegas Golden Knights are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Los Angeles Kings and Vegas Golden Knights come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Los Angeles Kings have won 0 of their last 3 (L-L-L, most recent first).
Vegas Golden Knights have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-W-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 29 times since 2017: Los Angeles Kings 12, Vegas Golden Knights 17. The last meeting, on Mar 19, 2022, finished Los Angeles Kings 1, Vegas Golden Knights 5.
Los Angeles Kings are 231-183 as favourite and 148-204 as underdog, and 174-217 on the road (45% of 391 games, 2011–2022).
Vegas Golden Knights are 197-119 as favourite and 56-63 as underdog, and 140-81 at home (63% of 221 games, 2017–2022).
| Record | LOS | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 231-183 | 197-119 |
| As underdog | 148-204 | 56-63 |
| At home | 209-179 | 140-81 |
| On the road | 174-217 | 114-103 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →