Ottawa Senators
3-1
New Jersey Devils
1-2
Win Probability
Moneyline
OTT
61.1% win prob
Moneyline
NJ
38.9% win prob
The Ottawa Senators travel to New Jersey looking to extend their strong record, and the simulation clearly favours them in this matchup. Jack Hughes has a 56% chance to record more than 0.5 points, but Tim Stutzle is projected even higher at 54%, suggesting Ottawa's depth advantage in playmaking. The game hinges on whether New Jersey can generate enough secondary scoring—Jesper Bratt sits at just 43%—to keep pace with Ottawa's balanced attack. On similar games shaped this way, AccuScore has gone 60% over 640 graded matchups. For the Devils to steal this at home, they would need an outsized performance from their supporting cast.
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Ottawa Senators 61% to beat New Jersey Devils (39%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Ottawa Senators the more likely winner at 61%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives New Jersey Devils a 39% chance of beating Ottawa Senators, against 61% for Ottawa Senators. New Jersey Devils are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Ottawa Senators and New Jersey Devils come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Ottawa Senators have won 3 of their last 4 (W-L-W-W, most recent first).
New Jersey Devils have won 1 of their last 3 (L-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 28 times since 2011: Ottawa Senators 14, New Jersey Devils 14. The last meeting, on Apr 26, 2022, finished New Jersey Devils 4, Ottawa Senators 5.
Ottawa Senators are 107-87 as favourite and 236-341 as underdog, and 153-234 on the road (40% of 387 games, 2011–2022).
New Jersey Devils are 122-93 as favourite and 198-343 as underdog, and 174-207 at home (46% of 381 games, 2011–2022).
| Record | OTT | NJ |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 107-87 | 122-93 |
| As underdog | 236-341 | 198-343 |
| At home | 190-198 | 174-207 |
| On the road | 153-234 | 152-236 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →