New Jersey Devils
2-2
Detroit Red Wings
1-3
Win Probability
The New Jersey Devils visit the Detroit Red Wings in a matchup where the home side holds a slight advantage in simulation. Jack Hughes projects as the Devils' most likely contributor, with a 61% chance of posting more than 0.5 points, while Alex DeBrincat sits at 49% for the Wings. The game hinges on whether either offence can sustain enough production to push the total over; the model gives that outcome just a 34% probability. AccuScore's simulation favours Detroit, though across eight statistically similar games in its record, the model's choice won six times. For New Jersey to pull the upset, it would need either Hughes or Jesper Bratt [NJ]—who has a 51% chance of a point—to lead a scoring surge the numbers suggest is unlikely.
| Book | Line | DET | EV | NJ | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | +1.5 | -250 | — | +198 | — |
| Book | DET | EV | NJ | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -115 | +2.1% | -105 | -6.8% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -104 | +4.6% | -115 | -8.6% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 5.5 | -122 | -18.9% | +102 | +16.5% |
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Detroit Red Wings 56% to beat New Jersey Devils (44%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Detroit Red Wings the more likely winner at 56%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Detroit Red Wings a 56% chance of beating New Jersey Devils, against 44% for New Jersey Devils. Detroit Red Wings are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How New Jersey Devils and Detroit Red Wings come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
New Jersey Devils have won 2 of their last 4 (W-L-L-W, most recent first).
Detroit Red Wings have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-W-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 22 times since 2012: New Jersey Devils 9, Detroit Red Wings 13. The last meeting, on Apr 29, 2022, finished Detroit Red Wings 5, New Jersey Devils 3.
New Jersey Devils are 122-93 as favourite and 198-343 as underdog, and 152-236 on the road (39% of 388 games, 2011–2022).
Detroit Red Wings are 143-115 as favourite and 173-320 as underdog, and 180-200 at home (47% of 380 games, 2011–2022).
| Record | NJ | DET |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 122-93 | 143-115 |
| As underdog | 198-343 | 173-320 |
| At home | 174-207 | 180-200 |
| On the road | 152-236 | 141-240 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →