Buffalo Sabres
2-3
Montreal Canadiens
2-2
Win Probability
Buffalo Sabres visit Montreal Canadiens in a matchup where the simulation leans slightly toward the visitors. Nick Suzuki projects as Montreal's most likely point producer at 64%, while Tage Thompson sits at 55% for Buffalo—a narrow gap that reflects how closely matched these offences appear. The game hinges on secondary scoring; outside those two, the Canadiens' depth players Lane Hutson (55%) and Cole Caufield (41%) must contribute for Montreal to stay competitive. AccuScore's historical record on games shaped like this one stands at 49% over 1,832 similar matchups. Montreal would need to contain Buffalo's depth contributors while elevating its own to overcome the slight lean against them.
| Book | Line | MON | EV | BUF | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -1.5 | +164 | — | -198 | — |
| FanDuel ↗ | -1.5 | +158 | — | -200 | — |
| Book | MON | EV | BUF | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -155 | -11.1% | +130 | +10.6% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -154 | -11.0% | +128 | +10.1% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 6.5 | -110 | -17.1% | -110 | +12.5% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 6.5 | -106 | -16.5% | -114 | +11.5% |
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Buffalo Sabres 53% to beat Montreal Canadiens (47%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Buffalo Sabres the more likely winner at 53%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Montreal Canadiens a 47% chance of beating Buffalo Sabres, against 53% for Buffalo Sabres. Montreal Canadiens are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Buffalo Sabres and Montreal Canadiens come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Buffalo Sabres have won 2 of their last 5 (L-L-W-W-L, most recent first).
Montreal Canadiens have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-L-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 38 times since 2011: Buffalo Sabres 23, Montreal Canadiens 15. The last meeting, on Feb 23, 2022, finished Buffalo Sabres 4, Montreal Canadiens 0.
Buffalo Sabres are 76-71 as favourite and 202-380 as underdog, and 127-245 on the road (34% of 372 games, 2011–2022).
Montreal Canadiens are 197-166 as favourite and 163-254 as underdog, and 195-204 at home (49% of 399 games, 2011–2022).
| Record | BUF | MON |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 76-71 | 197-166 |
| As underdog | 202-380 | 163-254 |
| At home | 157-214 | 195-204 |
| On the road | 127-245 | 173-222 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →