St. Louis Blues
2-2
Ottawa Senators
4-1
Win Probability
The St. Louis Blues visit the Ottawa Senators in a matchup where the simulation leans slightly toward the home side. Tim Stutzle projects at 57% to record more than 0.5 points, making him the game's most likely offensive catalyst, while Dylan Holloway sits at 49% for the Blues' best chance to match that production. Ottawa's depth in scoring opportunities—Drake Batherson and William Eklund both at 34%—gives the hosts a structural advantage in this low-scoring projection. AccuScore's model has returned 50% on similar home-lean games across 1,738 historical matchups. The Blues will need their secondary scoring to step up and Stutzle to have an off night for St. Louis to pull the upset.
| Book | Line | OTT | EV | STL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -1.5 | +190 | — | -230 | — |
| FanDuel ↗ | -1.5 | +186 | — | -235 | — |
| Book | OTT | EV | STL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -130 | -1.8% | +110 | -2.2% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -128 | -1.5% | +106 | -3.1% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 5.5 | -122 | -15.8% | +102 | +13.0% |
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Ottawa Senators 55% to beat St. Louis Blues (46%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Ottawa Senators the more likely winner at 55%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Ottawa Senators a 55% chance of beating St. Louis Blues, against 46% for St. Louis Blues. Ottawa Senators are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How St. Louis Blues and Ottawa Senators come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
St. Louis Blues have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-L-L-W, most recent first).
Ottawa Senators have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-L-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 14 times since 2012: St. Louis Blues 9, Ottawa Senators 5. The last meeting, on Mar 8, 2022, finished Ottawa Senators 4, St. Louis Blues 1.
St. Louis Blues are 324-222 as favourite and 143-138 as underdog, and 229-192 on the road (54% of 421 games, 2011–2022).
Ottawa Senators are 107-87 as favourite and 236-341 as underdog, and 190-198 at home (49% of 388 games, 2011–2022).
| Record | STL | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 324-222 | 107-87 |
| As underdog | 143-138 | 236-341 |
| At home | 243-176 | 190-198 |
| On the road | 229-192 | 153-234 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →