Vancouver Canucks
2-5
New York Islanders
2-3
Win Probability
The New York Islanders host the Vancouver Canucks in a matchup where the simulation favours the home side decisively. Elias Pettersson projects to a 48% chance of more than 0.5 points, while Matthew Schaefer sits at 57%—a gap that reflects where the model sees offensive advantage. Brayden Schenn carries a 52% chance of registering a point. The game turns on whether Vancouver can generate secondary scoring; if not, New York's depth advantage holds. On similar matchups, AccuScore has graded 538 games and returned 69% win-rate accuracy. For the Canucks to pull the upset, they would need to suppress the Islanders' supporting cast while getting contributions from their top six.
| Book | Line | NYI | EV | VAN | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -1.5 | +110 | — | -130 | — |
| FanDuel ↗ | -1.5 | +118 | — | -144 | — |
| Book | NYI | EV | VAN | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -218 | +1.9% | +180 | -9.5% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -205 | +2.9% | +168 | -11.3% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 6.5 | +114 | +0.2% | -135 | -3.8% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 6 | -120 | -1.3% | +100 | -2.6% |
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes New York Islanders 71% to beat Vancouver Canucks (29%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes New York Islanders the more likely winner at 71%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives New York Islanders a 71% chance of beating Vancouver Canucks, against 29% for Vancouver Canucks. New York Islanders are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Vancouver Canucks and New York Islanders come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Vancouver Canucks have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-W, most recent first).
New York Islanders have won 2 of their last 5 (L-W-L-W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 15 times since 2011: Vancouver Canucks 9, New York Islanders 6. The last meeting, on Mar 3, 2022, finished Vancouver Canucks 4, New York Islanders 3.
Vancouver Canucks are 154-128 as favourite and 199-268 as underdog, and 168-216 on the road (44% of 384 games, 2011–2022).
New York Islanders are 224-154 as favourite and 183-237 as underdog, and 222-182 at home (55% of 404 games, 2011–2022).
| Record | VAN | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 154-128 | 224-154 |
| As underdog | 199-268 | 183-237 |
| At home | 194-190 | 222-182 |
| On the road | 168-216 | 191-213 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →