Pittsburgh Penguins
3-2
Chicago Blackhawks
1-5
Win Probability
The Pittsburgh Penguins visit the Chicago Blackhawks in a matchup where the simulation leans slightly toward the visitors. Erik Karlsson projects to a 50% chance of exceeding 0.5 points, while Anton Frondell sits at 51%—indicating that scoring will likely come from depth rather than concentrating among elite producers. The game turns on whether Chicago can generate offense beyond its top names; Patrick Kane carries only a 38% projection. On games shaped like this one, AccuScore's record across eight similar matchups favored the away side, which won six of them. The Blackhawks would need to find secondary scoring that defies these projections to overtake a traveling opponent the model gives the lean to.
| Book | Line | CHI | EV | PIT | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +1.5 | -198 | — | +164 | — |
| FanDuel ↗ | +1.5 | -220 | — | +176 | — |
| Book | CHI | EV | PIT | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +120 | -0.6% | -142 | -3.0% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +112 | -2.4% | -134 | -1.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 6.5 | +100 | -8.4% | -120 | +3.5% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 6.5 | -102 | -8.8% | -120 | +3.5% |
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Pittsburgh Penguins 55% to beat Chicago Blackhawks (45%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Pittsburgh Penguins the more likely winner at 55%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Chicago Blackhawks a 45% chance of beating Pittsburgh Penguins, against 55% for Pittsburgh Penguins. Chicago Blackhawks are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Pittsburgh Penguins and Chicago Blackhawks come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Pittsburgh Penguins have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-L-L-W, most recent first).
Chicago Blackhawks have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-W-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 14 times since 2011: Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Chicago Blackhawks 11. The last meeting, on Nov 9, 2021, finished Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Chicago Blackhawks 3.
Pittsburgh Penguins are 373-236 as favourite and 99-110 as underdog, and 210-205 on the road (51% of 415 games, 2011–2022).
Chicago Blackhawks are 246-177 as favourite and 147-210 as underdog, and 209-184 at home (53% of 393 games, 2011–2022).
| Record | PIT | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 373-236 | 246-177 |
| As underdog | 99-110 | 147-210 |
| At home | 273-146 | 209-184 |
| On the road | 210-205 | 189-209 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →