Calgary Flames
0-5
Anaheim Ducks
4-1
Win Probability
The simulation decisively favours the Anaheim Ducks hosting the Calgary Flames in a matchup where the visitors arrive winless. Leo Carlsson projects as a 66% chance to record more than 0.5 points, while Matt Coronato sits at 34%, a gap that captures the gulf between these teams. Calgary's best scoring hope comes through Joel Farabee at 33%, yet Mikael Granlund at 59% suggests Anaheim's depth will overwhelm that threshold. On games shaped like this one, AccuScore's model went 7-1 across eight comparable matchups. For Calgary to escape, it would need to suppress Anaheim's volume generation and convert at a rate its season record does not suggest is likely.
| Book | Line | ANA | EV | CAL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -1.5 | +105 | — | -125 | — |
| FanDuel ↗ | -1.5 | +108 | — | -132 | — |
| Book | ANA | EV | CAL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -218 | +10.9% | +180 | -26.9% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -225 | +10.3% | +184 | -26.6% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 6.5 | +110 | -14.8% | -130 | +8.8% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 6.5 | +100 | -16.5% | -122 | +10.5% |
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Anaheim Ducks 84% to beat Calgary Flames (17%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Anaheim Ducks the more likely winner at 84%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Anaheim Ducks a 84% chance of beating Calgary Flames, against 17% for Calgary Flames. Anaheim Ducks are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Calgary Flames and Anaheim Ducks come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Calgary Flames have won 0 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-L, most recent first).
Anaheim Ducks have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-L-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 46 times since 2012: Calgary Flames 16, Anaheim Ducks 30. The last meeting, on Oct 10, 2026, finished Anaheim Ducks 4, Calgary Flames 2.
Calgary Flames are 227-161 as favourite and 158-226 as underdog, and 180-211 on the road (46% of 391 games, 2011–2022).
Anaheim Ducks are 213-145 as favourite and 164-255 as underdog, and 214-184 at home (54% of 398 games, 2011–2022).
| Record | CAL | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 227-161 | 213-145 |
| As underdog | 158-226 | 164-255 |
| At home | 212-181 | 214-184 |
| On the road | 180-211 | 169-221 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →