Boston Bruins
4-2
San Jose Sharks
3-2
Win Probability
Boston Bruins travel to face the San Jose Sharks with the simulation clearly favoring the visitors. David Pastrnak carries a 69% chance of recording more than 0.5 points, while Morgan Geekie sits at 43%; San Jose's best scoring prospect, Will Smith, reaches just 29%. The game turns on Boston's ability to convert—the simulation projects a relatively low combined score, suggesting the Bruins' depth will need to capitalize on limited chances. On similar win-probability shapes across other matchups, AccuScore's model side has won 88% of the time over the sample. San Jose would need to tighten its defense and steal possession to keep pace with Boston's offensive depth.
| Book | Line | SAN | EV | BOS | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -1.5 | +200 | — | -245 | — |
| FanDuel ↗ | -1.5 | +194 | — | -245 | — |
| Book | SAN | EV | BOS | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -115 | -15.2% | -105 | +11.3% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -120 | -15.9% | +100 | +12.8% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 6.5 | +110 | -10.3% | -130 | +5.0% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 6 | -118 | -9.5% | -104 | +5.7% |
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Boston Bruins 63% to beat San Jose Sharks (37%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Boston Bruins the more likely winner at 63%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives San Jose Sharks a 37% chance of beating Boston Bruins, against 63% for Boston Bruins. San Jose Sharks are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Boston Bruins and San Jose Sharks come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Boston Bruins have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-L-L-W, most recent first).
San Jose Sharks have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-L-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 15 times since 2011: Boston Bruins 10, San Jose Sharks 5. The last meeting, on Feb 26, 2022, finished Boston Bruins 3, San Jose Sharks 1.
Boston Bruins are 374-249 as favourite and 89-97 as underdog, and 222-189 on the road (54% of 411 games, 2011–2022).
San Jose Sharks are 263-205 as favourite and 135-191 as underdog, and 218-185 at home (54% of 403 games, 2011–2022).
| Record | BOS | SAN |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 374-249 | 263-205 |
| As underdog | 89-97 | 135-191 |
| At home | 243-166 | 218-185 |
| On the road | 222-189 | 185-218 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →