Montreal Canadiens vs Washington Capitals Prediction, Odds & Live Score — Oct 14

← Today's Edges

NHL•Wed, Oct 14 • 11:30 PM

MON

Montreal Canadiens

2-2

WAS

Washington Capitals

3-2

Win Probability

Moneyline

MON

38.3% win prob

Moneyline

WAS

61.7% win prob

Analysis

When the Montreal Canadiens visit the Washington Capitals, the simulation favours the home side clearly. Nick Suzuki projects to 62% to record more than 0.5 points, while Dylan Strome sits at 46%, a gap that reflects Montreal's offensive burden on the road. The game turns on whether the Canadiens can generate scoring depth; Cole Caufield has only a 40% chance to reach the point total, and Lane Hutson is at 51%, leaving Montreal dependent on its top line. AccuScore's record on similarly shaped matchups stands at 7 wins in 8 other games. For Montreal to pull off the upset, role players would need to step up and compensate for a Washington side that projects to edge them in goal differential.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Puck Line (-1.5/+1.5)MON -1.5

92-5

MON Cover

58.0%

no odds at this line

WAS Cover

42.0%

no odds at this line

Total (Over/Under)O/U 6

0.56.7513

Over Cover

38.9%

no odds at this line

Under Cover

49.5%

no odds at this line

Push 11.6% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the total

Player Props

WAS MON

Sort:

Where to Bet

DraftKingsBet →FanDuelBet →BetMGMBet →KalshiBet →PolymarketBet →

AccuScore's simulation makes Washington Capitals 62% to beat Montreal Canadiens (38%).

Projection updated Oct 12, 1:57 PM ET

Who will win Montreal Canadiens vs Washington Capitals?

AccuScore's simulation makes Washington Capitals the more likely winner at 62%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Washington Capitals beat Montreal Canadiens?

AccuScore's simulation gives Washington Capitals a 62% chance of beating Montreal Canadiens, against 38% for Montreal Canadiens. Washington Capitals are at home and favoured on these numbers.

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Montreal Canadiens and Washington Capitals come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Montreal CanadiensWLLLW

Oct 10vs Detroit Red WingsW 1–0
Oct 8vs Nashville PredatorsL 2–5
Oct 6vs Carolina HurricanesL 4–6
Oct 3at Pittsburgh PenguinsL 5–6
Sep 29at Toronto Maple LeafsW 3–2

Montreal Canadiens have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-L-L-W, most recent first).

Washington CapitalsLWWLW

Oct 11vs Seattle KrakenL 3–5
Oct 9vs New York RangersW 3–1
Oct 7vs Pittsburgh PenguinsW 5–3
Oct 3at Tampa Bay LightningL 1–3
Oct 2at Carolina HurricanesW 5–2

Washington Capitals have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-W-L-W, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 27 times since 2012: Montreal Canadiens 9, Washington Capitals 18. The last meeting, on Apr 16, 2022, finished Washington Capitals 8, Montreal Canadiens 4.

Apr 16, 2022WAS 8 – 4 MON
Feb 10, 2022WAS 5 – 2 MON
Nov 24, 2021MON 3 – 6 WAS
Feb 20, 2020MON 4 – 3 WAS
Jan 27, 2020WAS 4 – 2 MON

Every Montreal Canadiens vs Washington Capitals meeting →

Betting trends

Montreal Canadiens are 197-166 as favourite and 163-254 as underdog, and 173-222 on the road (44% of 395 games, 2011–2022).

Washington Capitals are 358-219 as favourite and 122-130 as underdog, and 256-164 at home (61% of 420 games, 2011–2022).

Record	MON	WAS
As favourite	197-166	358-219
As underdog	163-254	122-130
At home	195-204	256-164
On the road	173-222	234-190

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →