Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction, Odds & Live Score — Oct 14

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NHL•Thu, Oct 15 • 12:30 AM

DAL

Dallas Stars

2-2

COL

Colorado Avalanche

3-2

Win Probability

Moneyline

DAL

40.4% win prob

Moneyline

COL

59.6% win prob

Analysis

The simulation leans toward the Colorado Avalanche hosting the Dallas Stars in a tight matchup. Nathan MacKinnon projects at 69% to record more than 0.5 points, while Wyatt Johnston sits at 48%—a gap that captures Colorado's offensive advantage at home. The game turns on whether Dallas can generate secondary scoring; Martin Necas at 57% and Mikko Rantanen at 55% suggest the Avalanche have more depth contributors ready. AccuScore's model has won 50% of the time on games shaped this way across 1,738 graded contests. For Dallas to pull off the upset, Robertson and Hintz would both need to reach the scoresheet alongside Johnston.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Puck Line (-1.5/+1.5)DAL -1.5

5.5-0.25-6

DAL Cover

30.9%

no odds at this line

COL Cover

69.1%

no odds at this line

Total (Over/Under)O/U 6

0.56.2512

Over Cover

40.9%

no odds at this line

Under Cover

47.1%

no odds at this line

Push 12.0% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the total

Player Props

COL DAL

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Where to Bet

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AccuScore's simulation makes Colorado Avalanche 60% to beat Dallas Stars (40%).

Projection updated Oct 12, 1:57 PM ET

Who will win Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche?

AccuScore's simulation makes Colorado Avalanche the more likely winner at 60%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Colorado Avalanche beat Dallas Stars?

AccuScore's simulation gives Colorado Avalanche a 60% chance of beating Dallas Stars, against 40% for Dallas Stars. Colorado Avalanche are at home and favoured on these numbers.

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Dallas Stars and Colorado Avalanche come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Dallas StarsLWWLL

Oct 10at Pittsburgh PenguinsL 1–2
Oct 8at Buffalo SabresW 4–0
Oct 5vs San Jose SharksW 5–0
Oct 3at Nashville PredatorsL 1–2
Oct 2vs St. Louis BluesL 0–4

Dallas Stars have won 2 of their last 5 (L-W-W-L-L, most recent first).

Colorado AvalancheLWLWW

Oct 10vs Toronto Maple LeafsL 3–6
Oct 8at Calgary FlamesW 7–3
Oct 7at Winnipeg JetsL 2–3
Oct 3vs St. Louis BluesW 6–1
Sep 30vs Los Angeles KingsW 8–4

Colorado Avalanche have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-L-W-W, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 44 times since 2011: Dallas Stars 22, Colorado Avalanche 22. The last meeting, on Feb 15, 2022, finished Dallas Stars 4, Colorado Avalanche 1.

Feb 15, 2022DAL 4 – 1 COL
Feb 13, 2022COL 4 – 0 DAL
Nov 26, 2021COL 1 – 3 DAL
Sep 4, 2020DAL 5 – 4 COL
Sep 2, 2020COL 4 – 1 DAL

Every Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche meeting →

Betting trends

Dallas Stars are 232-176 as favourite and 166-210 as underdog, and 189-214 on the road (47% of 403 games, 2011–2022).

Colorado Avalanche are 234-138 as favourite and 175-243 as underdog, and 227-173 at home (57% of 400 games, 2011–2022).

Record	DAL	COL
As favourite	232-176	234-138
As underdog	166-210	175-243
At home	221-176	227-173
On the road	189-214	185-217

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →