MLB • Wed, Oct 14, 00:00
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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MLB
AccuScore's simulation makes Tampa Bay Rays 51% to beat Cleveland Guardians (49%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Tampa Bay Rays the more likely winner at 51%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Tampa Bay Rays a 51% chance of beating Cleveland Guardians, against 49% for Cleveland Guardians. Tampa Bay Rays are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Cleveland Guardians have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-W-W-L, most recent first).
Tampa Bay Rays have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-W-W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 99 times since 2010: Cleveland Guardians 45, Tampa Bay Rays 54. The last meeting, on Oct 12, 2026, finished Cleveland Guardians 7, Tampa Bay Rays 3.
Cleveland Guardians are 823-553 as favourite and 435-571 as underdog, and 610-604 on the road (50% of 1214 games, 2010–2026).
Tampa Bay Rays are 816-639 as favourite and 470-501 as underdog, and 677-555 at home (55% of 1232 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | CLE | TB |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 823-553 | 816-639 |
| As underdog | 435-571 | 470-501 |
| At home | 668-534 | 677-555 |
| On the road | 610-604 | 623-601 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the MLB odds have moved →